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Quality over Quantity- Flames vs. Blues Stat Recap

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Well they did have more shots. Did they matter? Probably not.

Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

Here is a ranking of offensive stats that, when you generate enough of them, will win you hockey games

  1. Goals
  2. High danger chances
  3. Scoring chances
  4. Shots
  5. Fenwick
  6. Corsi

If you want to score, you have to have possession (corsi). To make possession more useful, you have to get shots that are in the direction of the net (Fenwick), and preferably, ones that hit the net (uh, shots). It's better to have shots within the home plate area (Scoring chances), and even more preferably, within the slot (HDSCs). The more you generate those, the more likely you will score.

Think of this as a pyramid. Every shot attempt is a corsi event, but not a Fenwick event. As you go upwards, the numbers will get smaller and smaller, but ideally, they get smaller in proportion. All of these stats should correlate, not always, but they should. A team can be good at possession, but have absolutely no ability to get within the home plate area. While rare, there are teams that can rarely hold the puck more than their opponents, but somehow find a way to get chances within the slot.

With that in mind, let's look at today's game.

Corsi chart:

As always, from hockeystats.ca

Well they definitely won the corsi battle!

5v5

Thanks to some penalties....

5v5 score adjusted

... and falling behind by two early on.

Scoring chances (EV)

Here's the thing though. They certainly had the possession, but they didn't make much good use of it. For more info, let's go to the next section.

Shot plots

From war-on-ice.com

Goals are in red. Misses are in black. Blocks are in green. Saves are in blue.
Rush attempts are larger and italicized.
Rebound attempts are larger.

All:

5v5:

As said in the preamble in the beginning, it is not only important to have possession, but have meaningful possession. The Flames didn't do that. At 5v5, they had two less scoring chances than the Blues, though curiously, two more HD scoring chances. Again, it wasn't in proportion to the number of shots and shot attempts they were generating. Count how many blasts are from the point, or just outside of the home plate area.

Individual corsi chart:

CF% All OZS% All CF% EV OZS% EV
Johnny Gaudreau 81.08 76.19 74.07 64.29
Josh Jooris 75.00 83.33 75.00 83.33
Mason Raymond 71.88 85.71 60.87 71.43
Dennis Wideman 68.18 78.95 60.00 66.67
Mikael Backlund 65.22 77.78 65.00 71.43
Sean Monahan 63.64 66.67 62.07 62.50
Joe Colborne 58.82 81.82 48.15 50.00
Mark Giordano 58.33 63.16 55.81 56.25
TJ Brodie 56.52 51.94 54.76 46.67
Dougie Hamilton 55.88 92.31 50.00 90.00
Kris Russell 51.22 88.24 35.48 80.00
Jiri Hudler 50.00 80.00 38.10 71.43
David Jones 48.15 45.45 48.15 40.00
Micheal Ferland 46.88 66.67 37.04 50.00
Markus Granlund 45.83 71.43 40.91 66.67
Deryk Engelland 40.00 33.33 40.00 33.33
Matt Stajan 39.29 60.00 37.04 50.00
Sam Bennett 27.27 62.50 27.27 62.50

The good:

  • The usual suspects.
  • I don't care if he's sheltered, but Josh Jooris should never be a healthy scratch again.
  • I guess Deryk Engelland was alright in small doses

The bad:

  • Dougie Hamilton looks terrible considering his zone starts, but...

The ugly:

  • ... that number jumps up to 90.91 CF% (all) and 87.50 CF% (EV) away from Russell. It's not small sample size either, he was away from Russel for four minutes at all situations, and three at EV strength. For the record, Russell was 66.67 CF% (all) and 33.33 CF% (EV) away from Hamilton.
  • I'm not sure why Sam Bennett had such a terrible afternoon. At evens, he dragged everyone down. Yikes.
Up Next:

The Flames are back in action tomorrow against the Red Wings, who they have found success against before.