Here is a ranking of offensive stats that, when you generate enough of them, will win you hockey games
- High danger chances
- Scoring chances
If you want to score, you have to have possession (corsi). To make possession more useful, you have to get shots that are in the direction of the net (Fenwick), and preferably, ones that hit the net (uh, shots). It's better to have shots within the home plate area (Scoring chances), and even more preferably, within the slot (HDSCs). The more you generate those, the more likely you will score.
Think of this as a pyramid. Every shot attempt is a corsi event, but not a Fenwick event. As you go upwards, the numbers will get smaller and smaller, but ideally, they get smaller in proportion. All of these stats should correlate, not always, but they should. A team can be good at possession, but have absolutely no ability to get within the home plate area. While rare, there are teams that can rarely hold the puck more than their opponents, but somehow find a way to get chances within the slot.
With that in mind, let's look at today's game.
As always, from hockeystats.ca
Well they definitely won the corsi battle!
Thanks to some penalties....
5v5 score adjusted
... and falling behind by two early on.
Scoring chances (EV)
Here's the thing though. They certainly had the possession, but they didn't make much good use of it. For more info, let's go to the next section.
Goals are in red. Misses are in black. Blocks are in green. Saves are in blue.
Rush attempts are larger and italicized.
Rebound attempts are larger.
As said in the preamble in the beginning, it is not only important to have possession, but have meaningful possession. The Flames didn't do that. At 5v5, they had two less scoring chances than the Blues, though curiously, two more HD scoring chances. Again, it wasn't in proportion to the number of shots and shot attempts they were generating. Count how many blasts are from the point, or just outside of the home plate area.
Individual corsi chart:
|CF% All||OZS% All||CF% EV||OZS% EV|
- The usual suspects.
- I don't care if he's sheltered, but Josh Jooris should never be a healthy scratch again.
- I guess Deryk Engelland was alright in small doses
- Dougie Hamilton looks terrible considering his zone starts, but...
- ... that number jumps up to 90.91 CF% (all) and 87.50 CF% (EV) away from Russell. It's not small sample size either, he was away from Russel for four minutes at all situations, and three at EV strength. For the record, Russell was 66.67 CF% (all) and 33.33 CF% (EV) away from Hamilton.
- I'm not sure why Sam Bennett had such a terrible afternoon. At evens, he dragged everyone down. Yikes.