Game Preview #59
Flames vs. Avalanche--8PM MST on Sportsnet West
The Avalanche have been falling down the mountain lately with a 1-9-0 record over the last 10 games compared to the Flames' spiffy 7-1-2 record. The story of this game has to be the quick exit of Peter Forsberg. The feeling that this young Avs team was in need of some additional veteran experience was clear. Even if Forsberg was not the same player he once was on ice, I was thinking he would play a role in the dressing room.
I’m surprised that he came back and exited again so quickly, but it is good news for Flames fans. I’m not sure Forsberg would have done much on the ice, but he would have been a factor in the dressing room with the Avs' younger players.Last year I was surprised with the Avs performance. This year they are presenting themselves as the team I thought they would be. Young and full of potential, but not a playoff team. The Flames are in a must win situation in every game for the rest of the season.
The other shocker, if it holds up, is that I have a pre-game roster that lists rookie Lance Bouma on the first line with Iginla and BMo. Not sure if that will hold up at game time but it's certainly something to watch for Flames fans.
The Stat Rack
|
Flames |
Rank |
|
Rank |
Avalanche |
|
16.4% |
22nd |
PP% |
11th |
19.0% |
|
81.5% |
16th |
PK% |
27th |
78.0% |
|
2.88 |
19th |
GA |
30th |
3.32 |
|
2.78 |
13th |
GF |
7th |
2.98 |
|
48.4% |
25th |
FO% |
21st |
49.6% |
|
28.1 |
3rd |
SA/G |
20th |
31.2 |
|
30.4 |
17th |
SF/G |
18th |
30.1 |
Number Crunch
The Avalanche are the worst in the NHL in goals allowed, and Craig Anderson has yet to find the form he had last year. He was a big part of the Avs success story last season and this year he looks average at best. By the numbers, the edge should go to the Flames if they can keep themselves out of the penalty box. The Avs do have the 11th ranked powerplay, which is quite respectable.
Alive in the Last Five
Flames
Robyn Regehr – 1G 5A -1 in the last 5GP
Brendan Morrison – 0G 6A +1 in the last 5GP
Olli Jokinen – 2G 4A +1 in the last 5GP
Curtis Glencross – 4G 2A even in the last 5GP
Jarome Iginla – 1G 6A +1 in the last 5 GP
Avalanche
Kevin Porter was good in their last game with 1G, 1A but no Av player meets my usual cut off of a point per game.
Anticipated Roster (subject to change by game time)
|
The Flames |
The Avalanche |
||||
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Bouma |
Morrison |
Iginla |
Stewart |
Duchene |
Hejduk |
|
Glencross |
Jokinen |
Moss |
Jones |
Stastny |
Porter |
|
Bourque |
Stajan |
Jackman |
Yip |
O'Reilly |
Winnik |
|
Hagman |
Backlund |
Kostopoulos |
Mcleod |
Dupuis |
Koci |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Regehr |
Bouwmeester |
|
O'Byrne |
Wilson |
|
|
Giordano |
Sarich |
|
Shattenkirk |
Liles |
|
|
Staios |
Babchuk |
|
Gaunce |
Hunwick |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Kiprusoff |
Karlsson |
|
Anderson |
Budaj |
|
Anticipated Game Style
This one will be all about discipline for the Flames and the ability to stay out of the box. The powerplay is the primary weapon of the Avs and they have shown to me over the last two seasons that this is a young team willing to go down.
The Flames will need to show extra discipline to lock up this game.
One on One
Paul Stastny vs Mark Giordano
Gio has been a rock for the Flames all year and Paul Stastny is a second line center whom every team should be wary of. That is my one on one to watch.
The Magic 8-Ball
Two teams that appear to be going in the opposite directions. The game is in Denver though and the home ice advantage is with the Avalanche.
In a battle between Snow and Fire only one will end up all wet.