The Flames Meet the Nuckers

 

Game Preview #58

This year, the Canucks have given their fans some reality to support their early Cup parade routes. This year, for the first time in a long time, they truly are Cup contenders in my view, although for some fans in Vancouver, that's the case every year. 

They were the only team to actually strengthen in the off-season while the Sharks, ‘Hawks weakened and the Red Wings got a year older. No matter how you look at the Canucks, they are favorites and have entered their Cup window this year. Their performance on the season has done nothing to change my mind from my pre-season analysis of them. 

The Flames though are in Pyromancer mode, coming off a bad loss to the Ducks but still holding a 8-0-2 record compared to the Canucks' 6-1-3 in the last ten. Six weeks ago Canucks fans were laughing at the Flames and banking on wins. I doubt if they still are. This is a pressure game for a well rested Canucks team, while the Flames are an underdog fighting for a playoff spot.

By the numbers goes to the Canucks by far, but the Flames could surprise; it will be an interesting game to watch. David and Goliath perhaps?

The Stat Rack

Flames	Rank		Rank	Canucks
16.7%	21st	PP%	1st	24.5%
82.2%	15th	PK%	4th	85.5%
2.86	18th	GA	2nd	2.29
2.79	13th	GF	2nd	3.34
48.4%	25th	FO%	1st	55.5%
28.0	3rd	SA/G	18th	30.5
30.5	15th	SF/G	6th	32.5

Number Crunch

The Canucks dominate in all categories except shots allowed. They don’t just lead the Flames, they lead the league. Vancouver is in the top five in critical stats like PP, PK, goals against, goals for, and faceoff percentage. As I said, this team is top five in the league, not just the West. By the numbers, this game is a slam-dunk win for the Canucks.

Alive in the Last Five

Flames

Robyn Regehr – 1G 6A +1 in the last 5GP

Brendan Morrison – 1G 5A +3 in the last 5GP

Olli Jokinen – 2G 5A +1  in the last 5GP

Curtis Glencross – 4G 2A +1 in the last 5GP

Jarome Iginla – 1G 5A +4 in the last 5 GP

 

Canucks

Mikael Samuelsson - 4G 6A +2 in the last 5GP

Ryan Kesler – 5G 2A +5 in the last 5GP

Sedin 1 (Daniel) – 2G 6A +2 in the last 5GP

Sedin 2 (Henrick) – 1G 5A +# in the last 5GP

 

Anticipated Roster (subject to change by game time)

The Flames			The Ducks
Bourque	Morrison	Iginla	D Sedin	H Sedin	Burrows
Glencross	Jokinen	Moss	Raymond	Kesler	Samuelsson
Hagman	Stajan	Jackman	Tambellini	Malhotra	Hansen
Kostopoulos	Backlund	Bouma	Torres	Glass	Oreskovich
Regehr	Bouwmeester		Salo	Ehrhoff
Giordano	Sarich		Alberts	Bieksa
Staios	Babchuk		Rome	Tanev
Kiprusoff	Karlsson		Luongo	Schneider

 

Anticipated Game Style

Kiprusoff is the key to this game for the Flames. The Flames’ defense can contain the Canucks if they all play the system but room for mistakes is miniscule. The Canucks will exploit any flaw presented in defensive positioning.

Sedin One and Sedin Two are the usual threats, but each were held to just a single point in the last game between these two teams. The primary Flames player who seems to be a 'Nuck killer this year is Tim Jackman, who likely scares the whole roster. He has 3G, 1A and is +1 against the Canucks this season.

 

One on One

Roberto Luongo vs Miikka Kiprusoff

This one is about the goaltending and the last line of defense for the Flames. There's no doubt that Kipper must have one of his stellar games. 

 

The Magic 8-Ball

The simple fact is that any team in the NHL that gets any points out of the Cancuks in a game this season should feel damn proud.

The fact is that if the Canucks lose, they should feel the shame--not the Flames. They are well rested, their #1 goalie has had a game off, they have several players who are recently scoring at a pace of over a point per game AND they have home ice. A hard fought effort is all I ask for from the Flames; a never-say-die game and 100% effort for three full periods and I am good.

This is a back to back for the Flames. A game they have to dig down deep for. The entire Canucks team is rested, including Luongo. If it stays close after two periods, watch the third carefully for Flames players who keep up the hard skating. Those are your players with heart. 

If the Canucks lose this game when they have everything going for them from a rested team to a rested goalie to home ice, it will be the moment in the season when I reevaluate them for Cup potential.