The Flames and the Trade Deadline: It Doesn't Have To Be Bad News
At this moment, according to Sports Club Stats, the Calgary Flames have a fourteen percent chance of making the playoffs. That is not very good. Of course, if you asked Jay Feaster, he'd probably say the Calgary Flames have a one hundred percent chance of making the playoffs. That, in theory, is a lot better.
This is why, barring a massive losing streak to rival the nine-gamer of a few years back, you can expect the Flames to be considered "buyers" (though I loathe that term as well as "sellers" due to the connotations, but more on that later) despite what any outside observer would realize: the Flames aren't going to succeed in making the playoffs, and if they do, it'll be at best a 4-2 with the Flames enjoying the second round from their couches and resorts in Mexico.
But wait Calgary fans! That doesn't have to be horrible news! Well, the losing in the first round or missing the playoffs is bad news, of course, but the acquisition of players who can make an "impact" now doesn't necessarily mean the Flames are mortgaging the future.
Take, for instance, the Mike Cammalleri trade. Through a combination of the French circus media running a guy out of town by hilariously convoluting his words to the point of him being yanked in the third period of the game and shrewd negotiations, Jay Feaster acquired a pretty darn good forward with minimal effect on the future of the team. Sure, a lot of people bemoaned the loss of a second round pick (15% chance of being a replaceable NHL player! Oh no!) and Patrick Holland (a player who I like a lot for his candidness and intelligence, less for his actual minimal hockey ability), but that was a pretty reasonable "futures" loss for a player with high end offensive abilities.
Throw in Rene Bourque, a guy who had outstayed his welcome in Calgary by repeatedly taking poorly timed moronic penalties and receive a potential Kiprusoff replacement and a fifth round pick (woo!) and you have a pretty terrific deal.
The fact is, with good drafting (SVEN) and smart deals, it's possible to turn a team over from consistent frustration to an actual playoff contender without ever truly tanking. Difficult? Absolutely. Possible? Certainly.
It helps that the Flames have cleared salary with Hagman and Kotalik, have shown a willingness to waive players they don't need with Carson and Ivanans, and are clearly indicating a willingness to trade. It helps that Jay Feaster is showing an actual awareness of the team problems, even if he won't verbally acknowledge it.
Even with the Cammalleri acquisition, the Flames will still be able to add over $4M at the trade deadline. And if Feaster keeps his head in the right place, they might be able to do that without sacrficing tomorrow's quality players.
ESPN's Pierre LeBrun has listed players such as Derek Roy, Drew Stafford, Antoine Vermette, and Jason Blake as being available. It's possible that they could be available for minimal futures and instead for defensively responsible depth players, especially with these teams having a win-now attitude as well despite their current positioning. The Blue Jackets can't afford to continue looking at tomorrow, the Sabres have money but no cap space, and the Ducks are, well, the Ducks. Nobody's really sure what's happening there.
While I can still safely say I'd like to see a full out rebuild that includes at least one player of Yakupov/Grigorenko/Galchenyuk ability, the current decision process the Flames are using could be far worse: we could be trading our first round picks and top prospects for middling centers who show baffling decision making with and without the puck. We could still have Darryl Sutter as GM.
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I Don’t think making 8th spot makes us fodder. Cammalleri and Halak carried a really mediocre Habs team to the conference finals 2 years ago.
Never give up i say. Not even if there is a fire!
by Jeremywilhelm on Jan 20, 2012 8:40 AM PST via mobile reply actions
The whole point is to make the playoffs. The Oilers fan base is on a suicide watch now. If Taylor (Jesus) Hall turns out to injury prone – that rebuild is on alert. If they don’t move for a top 2 NHL D this year at some point I would take a deep breath – RNH or no RNH – the Thrash had their Kovie, the Jackets had their Nash.
No guarantee, I prefer a season of hockey I actually want to watch over one where you are done at the half-way mark.
Consider contributing to Wiki if you can. It has come a long way since its inception in quality and its founders have resisted attempts to commercialize it. Lets keep it alive with a few dollars each.
by Mitch Smith on Jan 20, 2012 10:26 AM PST up reply actions
Just to be clear, RNH is definitely the new Oiler Jesus. Hall is old news at this point; I presume their next 1st rounder will replace RNH as the newest Jesus this year.
by SmellOfVictory on Jan 20, 2012 11:44 PM PST up reply actions
Any deal at the deadline that can make the team better now and in years to come has to be considered and I think will be considered.
The names you listed are all forwards; I certainly don’t think the Flames forwards are spectacular but I’d argue we need more help on the backend following the Cammy acquisition. Would love to see Sarich and Babchuk moved, possibly even Hannan for whatever futures or bargaining chips we can get and using that (or those players) to find an underrated defenseman that may be available. Kind of like Boston finding Dennis Seidenberg.
Unfortunately, I think there are no fewer than 15 other teams that will be looking to do that as well.
"Well, we're gonna need all hands on deck if we're gonna go to Regionals!"
@MG_mslepp
Yeah, defense is really the key right now, and Carolina might have our solution, however few LeBrun didn’t really mention any D as being freely available in that part of the article.
D seems to be at a premium these days. I’m sure more names will come out as being available as more teams fall out of the race closer to the deadline, but we’ll see.
And with so many teams looking for help on D, Flames may not be able to afford any of the ones available and might be better off selling the ones they don’t use that often.
"Well, we're gonna need all hands on deck if we're gonna go to Regionals!"
@MG_mslepp
Don't Panic!
The Flames are not in appreciably better shape now than they were at similar points in the last couple of seasons. It would be reasonable to expect Feaster to be starting to panic a little as a result. Fortunately, he doesn’t appear to be doing so. Either that or he panics in a way completely unlike Darryl Sutter. e.g. The Cammelleri trade vs. the Phaneuf trade. Perhaps he really isn’t in a panic and has just resigned himself to the fact that he’s fielded a pretty good roster under the circumstances. On paper the Flames do look slightly better this year, but the injuries have really piled up. Just being able to tread water until a few healthy bodies return and not sink beyond hope has been impressive.
I think the most important thing for the Flames, when it comes to trades, is to avoid making panic trades. Better yet, cash in on other team’s panic trades. e.g. The Cammalleri trade. No matter whether the Flames are buyers or sellers, Feaster needs to improve the teams assets with every trade. Yes, we could use another top paring D, but only if the price is right. If Feaster can avoid overpaying even for assets we need and get a bargain on assets we don’t need as badly, I’d consider that a win.

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