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Setting Fire to a Narrative: Roberto Luongo


Luongo_medium

Awesome image courtesy of Colin Stuart, who will be providing more throughout the season.

You can find more of his stuff at his online portfolio.

I don't like Roberto Luongo. I don't like his attitude, I don't like his fire hazard hair, and I don't enjoy the way he plays in goal. But he is a damn fine goalie.

A lot of hockey fans seem to forget that, which seems strange to me, until I remember my arch-nemesis "False Narrative" is always lurking around the corner. Just Google the the words "Roberto Luongo big game". Here's a small sample of results:

Roberto Luongo Chokes in Big Game| CorruptCamel.com
Jun 16, 2011 – Interview foreshadows Roberto Luongo's game 7 collapse.
Canucks' Roberto Luongo has another shot to build reputation in ...
Vancouver Canucks goalie Roberto Luongo has a reputation for coming up small in big games. Is it deserved? Check out his history facing elimination. ...
Roberto Luongo and the Worst Big-Game Goalies in NHL History ...
May 8, 2011 – Oh goalies. They have the hardest job on the ice at times it seems, and they are always the first ones we blame for a horrible loss.
 Roberto Luongo's 'Big Game' History | Yardbarker.com
Feb 23, 2010 – Filed under: Ice Hockey, CanadaYou knew somebody was going to take the fall for Team Canada's loss to the United States, and it's going to ...

So where is this narrative coming from?

Star-divide

Narratives exist because we are brought up believing things happen in neat and tight plotlines. It's a lot easier for us to believe that Luongo is the villain from inside: foiling the plans of the Sedin brothers, forcing teammates to play harder, ruining the Vancouver Canucks salary cap. And if he had played well in game 7 of the Stanley Cup Final? Why- he's a redeemed man! A hero even!

Luongo has absolutely had games in which he's struggled. But he's also had a significantly higher number of games in which he's been flat out dominant. Look at the 2007 2OT elimination loss to Anaheim- Luongo was absolutely the only reason the Vancouver Canucks were in that game at that point, but it doesn't fit the narrative of choking, so we collectively forget it.

It's fair to say most people get their sports news from newspapers and television. It's also fair to say that those entities exist to make money. Which is a more exciting story? Roberto Luongo is a very good goalie with normal ups and downs? Or Roberto Luongo is a very good goalie when there's no pressure, but as soon as he's in the spotlight he chokes? The latter.

When you add in other narratives, such as Luongo "pumping the tires" of Tim Thomas and the heightened thrill of the Stanley Cup Finals, you're left with a mess of ingredients just waiting to be baked into a big fat sweet narrative.

Hockey is entertainment to 99% of us. The other 1% are the players and the reporters. The reporters have work when we are entertained. We are entertained when there is a narrative. We don't watch movies to see someone wake up, brush their teeth, go to work, make copies, go home, eat dinner, go to sleep. We watch movies to see a rising and falling plotline. How does Luongo match plotlines? Let's look:

 Luongoplotline_medium

In fairness, there's a few different versions of what a plotline looks like, but this is a fairly basic version of the one I subscribed to as an art major, and most are pretty similar to this.

The parts, which I've numbered, are as follows:

1. Exposition

This is Luongo's career leading up to that first playoff series against Chicago: getting traded, signing with Vancouver, the playoff series against Anaheim even. He's established as a very good goalie with little playoff exposure.

2. Narrative Hook

The first series against Chicago. The concept that Chelsea Dagger is Luongo's kyrptonite. We see this player who had been heralded as one of the best goalies in the league, begin to fall.

3. Rising Action

We get more of the "Can't perform in big situations" stories as Luongo falters in the Olympics and loses to Chicago again, before finally beating Chicago in the 2011 playoffs, which was a microcosm of this on its own.

4. Lull

A lot of visual plotlines leave this part out: it's the quiet before the storm. In Vancouvers case, it's the Nashville series and San Jose series. Luongo performed well, and even exceptionally at times. However there were very few pieces written on him- it didn't fit the plotline. These weren't big moments for the Luongo story. Instead they led to the birth of "Ryan Kesler and the Sedins aren't showing up" stories.

5. Climax

The 2011 Stanley Cup Finals. All of a sudden, Luongo's back in the spotlight, thanks to plenty of goals given up to the Bruins in Boston. Of course, it's not that simple. Anyone who watched those games can tell you that Luongo was hung out to dry by some awful defense. A lot of writers spilled a lot of ink on how great Vancouver's D was this past season, but just because they have a lot of NHL capable players doesn't mean that they have a lot of really good players. When Ehrhoff is one of the two best guys you've got, alongside Kevin Bieksa, you're looking at a team with lots of second pairing players and no first pairing players.

Still, those goals against made Luongo look bad, and when contrasted with Tim Thomas's stellar performances (that while very very good, were also helped by having terrific defense in front of him) suddenly made for so much more drama than anyone could have gotten from any series yet. And the best part was, no matter how it ended, it would be perfect. Either the Bruins would win and Luongo would be a lamb led to the slaughter or the Canucks would win and Luongo's redemption would be complete.

6. Falling Action

This is Luongo skating off the ice. The Bruins celebrating and skating with the Cup. For all other stories, this is part of the climax. For Luongo's story, this is the falling action.

7. Resolution

Here everything wraps up: Thomas wins the Vezina, Luongo watches. Other Florida goalies move on to better teams, and so on. Rumors of Cory Schneider being traded are unfounded, and the media moves elsewhere.

 

In a way, it's fascinating to watch it play out: to watch people ignore stats and believe only in the story that was written by a dying industry; to watch Luongo have to fend off endless questions about "demons" and "big games". The fact is though, he's a professional athlete at the highest level. You don't get to this point by just choking. The concept of "sample size" was almost developed for this occasion. Luongo's had maybe 10 huge games in his career, that's hardly a sample size worth noting.  But that's not the narrative. That's not the story we want to hear.

Still, it's fun to egg on Vancouver fans with 7uongo, LOLuongo, and Luon8o. And that might be worth all of this nonsense.

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‘to watch people ignore stats’

speaking of which, I dont see any in this article to back up your argument.

If you want to say Loungo isnt a chocker, define big game, give a list of the big games he has played in, tell me how he performed in those games. Otherwise this looks like someone trying to construct a narrative.

by Domebeers.com on Jul 12, 2011 10:08 AM PDT reply actions  

he doesn't need stats

he is just going out there, giving it his all, and he is getting things done. He is one of those hard working grinders that you need to succeed.

by brisulph on Jul 12, 2011 10:39 AM PDT up reply actions  

That’s not what this post was about. I’m not trying to debunk the choker myth- I’m trying to explain it. Huge difference.

by ArikJames on Jul 12, 2011 11:31 AM PDT up reply actions  

Oh- and if you want numbers:http://hockeyandbooze.tumblr.com/post/6623458929

H/T to Justin for that great post that forced me to put this one off for a while.

by ArikJames on Jul 12, 2011 11:45 AM PDT up reply actions  

I think it can be boiled down to a couple things: sample size and confirmation bias (with a modified version of the broken window fallacy, especially with Schneider’s performance this past year).
For a couple of years, one of the things that has fascinated me most with the human psyche is how we distribute credit widely yet seek to pin negative things on as small of a group as possible. Ideally, this is a team game and one play by any player makes just as much of an impact as any other. So maybe Erhoff clears the puck out of the zone that one time instead of it being stuck beneath the blue line. Who knows what could’ve happened, how a play as simple as that could’ve affected the game.
In hockey, it’s easiest to blame the goaltender, as he is the lone solitary position player on the ice.

We know two things: Shitty Hockey and Booze.
Go Flames Go!
MOCK DRAFT CHAMPION OF THE WORLD

by Justin Azevedo on Jul 12, 2011 10:50 AM PDT reply actions  

And moreoever, he can’t actually win a game- he can only lose one.

by ArikJames on Jul 12, 2011 11:32 AM PDT up reply actions  

Which does seem to be wholly unique to him. The stigma associated with him is exceedingly odd

We know two things: Shitty Hockey and Booze.
Go Flames Go!
MOCK DRAFT CHAMPION OF THE WORLD

by Justin Azevedo on Jul 12, 2011 12:25 PM PDT up reply actions  

You make a compelling argument.

That said, the guy doesn’t even have the decency to grow a play off beard. I know he can grow a beard but he refuses to do it… it irks me.

www.mmalinker.com

by exsanguinator on Jul 12, 2011 12:22 PM PDT reply actions  

This is true. He’s embarassing all of Italy, and 1/8th of me.

We know two things: Shitty Hockey and Booze.
Go Flames Go!
MOCK DRAFT CHAMPION OF THE WORLD

by Justin Azevedo on Jul 12, 2011 12:26 PM PDT up reply actions  

It’s not that I disagree with you so much as it is that I can’t think of a single other player in the NHL who is as fun to mock ;)

One thing that plays into this narrative, at least here in Vancouver, is the fact that Luongo’s contract is so massive. At least 50% of the people I talk to/hear call in to sports radio say something like “For the money he’s making, he has to be able to win games when they count.” The captaincy and the way he (didn’t) handle that also loom large out here.

But as for this year, and the SCF in particular? Well, you don’t win a seven game series by scorin eight goals. There’s lots of blame (and credit, too, to BOS) to go around for that one.

by SarahM on Jul 12, 2011 12:27 PM PDT via mobile reply actions  

One thing that plays into this narrative, at least here in Vancouver, is the fact that Luongo’s contract is so massive.

I agree on this as driving the Luongo narrative and many narratives out there for that matter.

Since the Cap was brought in, dollars and contracts and pay for play has become a big factor in perception. Jokinen faced massive and justified criticism at 5.25 but at 3 million, I would argue he is value. Same with Jbo, despite his stats presenting a good defensive D-man, fact is his pay is so high that people are critical of him for not putting up the points.

The opposite holds true as well, I wrote an article on Morrison last year driving a positive narrative, at a measly 725K how could you not embrace him.

Luo is a good goalie but all highly paid players put themselves in a bullseye for high expectations, the minute they falter the daggers come out in, even if they may not be 100% justified from the neutral eye of objective stats.

by Mitch Smith on Jul 12, 2011 5:26 PM PDT up reply actions  

Side note: I absolutely LOVE that picture from Colin. He rules.

by ArikJames on Jul 12, 2011 12:51 PM PDT reply actions  

Thanks! I can’t wait to do some more of these.

by Colin S on Jul 12, 2011 8:30 PM PDT up reply actions  

Thire is lots to like in this article and comments, and a great illustration – can’t wait to see what else is in store from Colin!

It’s tough to figure Luongo out – the whole “can win the big game” (Olympics), and “slaying the dragon” (Chicago 2011) makes it slightly harder to pin the choker label on him. And yeah, he has been great at times. But then, he didn’t really “win” the Olympics did he, he just “didn’t lose” the gold medal game…and if Chicago scores the OT goal in game 7, Looo’s choker status is that much harder to shake (especially after blowing a 3-0 series lead). Then again, after game 5 of the finals, he may still have been the Canucks playoff MVP – 2 shutouts in 3 wins is impressive.

I dunno, it makes my head spin if I think too much about it. Maybe it’s just bad luck. Bottom line: I’m glad I’m not a Canucks fan…what a contract for either a hard-luck guy or a choker.

Flamestuff: collecting Calgary Flames memorabilia since 1980; blogging about it since 2011.

by sure mojo on Jul 12, 2011 1:59 PM PDT reply actions  

saved Neidermayer in O.T

He “won” a Gold Medal.

FFS, they are not even there if he does not stone Demitra in the Semi’s dying seconds.

And the Hawks didn’t score the O/T goal in Game 7, did they?

;-)

Peace

Nuck’s Misconduct Bishop, 1st United Church of Luongod. "For true believers, the bile you spew is our fuel, and when the Canucks raise the Cup next year, we shall drink it, mixed with your tears like the sweetest wine." WAACH' 6/26/11

by vancitydan on Jul 26, 2011 4:02 PM PDT up reply actions  

Way late

I usually don’t come see M&G, just because…but maybe I should.

Best article written about Lui I have seen. Thanks for outlining my thoughts on the matter for a while now.

Narratives are a funny thing. For instance, the Boston Puck Media ( drank from the Cup FFS, and were as partisan as you will see ) making a question about styles into 4 days of “controversy”.

The folks like Cox and the other Eastern ( we are in T.O, so we know more than you guys do ) puck scribes willingly went that way.

I thought the only thing a little off was the defense thing. Maybe no clear #1, but you did not even mention Edler, who played the last …three I think it was, or two games anyhow, with two broken fingers from a slash. Same as Bieksa and a deep MCL bruise from Peverley’s unpenalized two hander in Game 1.

I guess we should have known that we needed more thugs. Seems everyone is “buying the narrative” and loading up on tough guys.

I look forward to Triple L vs Ballroom Bitz..

Thanks for the read.

Nuck’s Misconduct Bishop, 1st United Church of Luongod. "For true believers, the bile you spew is our fuel, and when the Canucks raise the Cup next year, we shall drink it, mixed with your tears like the sweetest wine." WAACH' 6/26/11

by vancitydan on Jul 26, 2011 4:00 PM PDT reply actions  

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