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The (Strange) Rise of Leland Irving

The initial shock was that Leland "Berlin" Irving was given the start against Vancouver: the best team in the West and the Flames' biggest rival. The greater shock was that he wasn't merely decent, he was terrific. In two games, Irving is sporting a sparkling .951 EVSV%. Of course, that won't last given the incredibly small sample size, but given his drafting position, his solid play in the AHL, and his ability to make a brilliant save on Daniel Sedin (that last one is probably more important than anything), maybe it's time we start seriously considering him as the heir apparent to Miikka Kiprusoff.

Star-divide

A lot of Calgary fans have considered this to be a career revitalization season for the Finn, but being realistic about it, he's been entirely average. Of semi-regular starting goalies, Kiprusoff finds himself at 20th in EVSV%, with a very pedestrian .925. And while there's no reason to expect that number to rise, his ranking probably will if only due to the number of goaltenders with unsustainable percentages right now. Given the downward slope his play has been on the past few years, it's probably safe to assume this is the best he'll be.

That's what makes Mr. Berlin so intriguing. A young goaltender most fans wrote off when he was the worst part of the AHL/ECHL carousel the Flames were running with Matt Keetley and David Shantz a few seasons back, Irving has been a top goalie in the AHL for two years running now. Actually, that should be rephrased: a top goalie in the AHL on a not very good Abbottsford Heat team: and now he seems to have arrived in the NHL on the heels of a Henrik Karlsson injury.

At this point the Flames find themselves with a serviceable, but hardly exceptional aging goalie making millions and an unpredictable (in that he's only started two NHL games at this point) but promising former first rounder. Oh- and a 29 year old backup goalie who'll come off the IR at some point and isn't waiver eligible.

So where does this leave Flames management? Do they trade Kiprusoff while he's still tradeable (in theory) and try to acquire a cheaper veteran to tandem with Irving? Do they return to status quo when the Calgary Tower comes off the IR? It's simply impossible to tell. The Flames ownership and management have made it very clear that money- and therefore winning now- is the priority. If Leland Irving provides a better chance of a couple home playoff games, it's hard to imagine he wouldn't be with the team. That said, if there's a risk that Calgary could lose Karlsson to waviers, it's hard to imagine management taking that chance and losing a semi-valuable asset for nothing.

Either way, if Berlin continues his surprising and exceptional development, there are very few scenarios where he isn't the Flames starting goalie in a few short years.

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That said, if there’s a risk that Calgary could lose Karlsson to waviers, it’s hard to imagine management taking that chance and losing a semi-valuable asset for nothing.

I’d say if the Flames management decides Irving is the better option, then losing the big Swede on waivers is simultaneously unlikely (because 29-year old backups with no history of winning in the league who get usurped by rookies are pretty much useless) and the preferable outcome (to rid the club of his relatively pricey ticket).

by Kent Wilson on Dec 27, 2011 8:38 AM PST reply actions  

precisely what i was going to say; losing karlsson is not really a “risk” because if they opt to put him on waivers, they’ve already made their decision on who will be the NHL backup.

the truth of the matter (IMO) is that it would probably benefit the calgary flames if karlsson got picked up on waivers —-not only because of what kent points out above (monetary reasons), but because it would leave joni ortio as the undisputed #1 in abbotsford, thereby advancing HIS development. admittedly unlikely, though, obviously.

by walkinvisible on Dec 27, 2011 10:12 AM PST up reply actions  

because it would leave joni ortio as the undisputed #1 in abbotsford

he’s currently the backup to the guy that’s in there now, so I’m not too sure about that

by Justin Azevedo on Dec 27, 2011 10:26 AM PST up reply actions  

Shop Karlsson for a late round pick. Not sure which team they could try selling him to though. Otherwise I don’t see a problem losing him on waivers. Small sample size or not Irving already looks better than Karlsson and given that he’s a top goaltender in his own league playing on a terrible team I think that can only be a good sign as to how well he’ll do in the show.

Anyway, losing Karlsson on waivers is only a risk if someone takes him, which I don’t think anyone will… let him start in the AHL for the rest of the season imo. The question is what do the Flames actually want to do with the team? I really don’t see why the Flames can’t try to replicate Riemer if the season is in as much doubt as it seems to be.

www.mmalinker.com

by exsanguinator on Dec 27, 2011 12:32 PM PST reply actions  

With Danny Taylor playing so well in Abbotsford right now (17 GP, 2.37 GAA, .924 sv%, compared to Irving in AHL 23 GP, 2.30 GAA, .914 sv%) I think it makes Karlsson expendable. I hate losing assets with value for nothing, but I believe KW to be right… Karlsson currently has 0 value. Losing him on waivers would do the Flames a favor as it stands right now.

And, Arik’s right about the team. $ and playoffs are what’s important to them for this season… meaning Kipper ain’t going ANYWHERE this year. And, given his numbers, he doesn’t have any real value until next year when his actual $ left owing on his contract becomes more manageable.

"Well, we're gonna need all hands on deck if we're gonna go to Regionals!"
@MG_mslepp

by Scott Lepp on Dec 29, 2011 8:58 AM PST reply actions  

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