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Guest Post: The Replacements

The biggest news by far coming out of last night's double victory over the Canucks  Moose was the loss of center Matt Stajan to injury and the subsequent opening of his roster spot, up for grabs to whomever earns it over the course of the remainder of training camp. Arik Knapp of the The 4th Line Blog weighs in on the various candidates for Stajan's replacement, including the pros and cons of each and possibly even a dark horse or two. 

If you’ve been following Flames news at all this morning or late last night, you’ve probably heard that Matt Stajan injured his shoulder in the first period of last night's second game in Vancouver. While AGM Jay Feaster declined to specify what the injury was (I’m sure we’ll never know anything besides "Upper Body Injury"), he seemed to imply that Stajan will miss time not only during the pre-season, but also the regular season.  From Vicki Hall’s article in the Flames Insider:

"He hurt his shoulder," said assistant general manager Jay Feaster. "He was examined here tonight. Obviously couldn't come back. But we won't know exactly the extent of it until he sees the doctors back in Calgary."

Stajan suffered the injury near the Calgary bench in the first period when he was reaching for the puck.

"He's going to miss some time," Feaster said. "But we'll wait until we see the doctors."

So, obviously this is not good. I was hoping for a big season from Stajan, but that seems unlikely to start right away. When you consider missing most of training camp and shaking off the rust, I get the feeling this won’t be the year that Stajan justifies being one of the key pieces coming back to Calgary in the Phaneuf trade (not that I think he needs to--Phaneuf is vastly overrated).  Of course, if Phaneuf keeps sparking comments like this one from the Twitter page of TSN's Bob McKenzie, then that’s even less of a problem:

Dion Phaneuf played very poorly. Got wheeled badly by Nick Foligno on a goal, allowed Ottawa PKer easy access to net...

Anyways, Phaneuf's play is besides the point. The real question is--who fills Stajan’s position? Most of us expected him to center the #2 line, and his most likely replacement, Langkow, is also out. So who are our options?

Star-divide

1. Mikael Backlund: Probably the most likely candidate. This is his first real chance to make a showing at the NHL level, getting good ice time and playing with good players.

2. Mitch Wahl: My personal favorite, though not necessarily my preference in this case. Wahl could be an interesting call-up. He’s seems defensively strong, smart on the puck, and never panics.

3. Brett Sutter: Not necessarily a second-line type of player, since he’s more of a defensive forward.

4. Hugo Carpentier: Aside from the terrible centers in Abbotsford (Grantham and Murray), as well as Backlund, Carpentier has played the most professional games of all centers on the Flames' farm team--that being a total of 35.

What’s likely to happen? I see it shaking out in one of several possible ways:

a) Backlund gets the 2nd line center position, where he can finally develop, receiving more ice time on a good line, playing against actual NHL players.

b) Sutter gets the 2nd line center position, purely because he won’t be a liability on the back end and will keep plugging away at the task at hand. 

c) Conroy moves up to the top line and Brett Sutter takes over whichever line Connie was on.

d) Mitch Wahl gets a chance to crack the line-up as…I can’t even finish that sentence. Not because it’s bad, but because Shifty Sutter would never allow a player that opportunity so early in his development.

Either way, what we’re likely to see with Stajan injured is a forward who has spent a bit of time in the Pros come in somewhere in the line-up, whether as a defensively responsible forward who won’t score as much, one who has likely reached the peak of his development, or as a player coming in to develop straight up. 

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“Who the fuck is Hugo Carpentier? You know what, I don’t even care. He’s on the big squad.”

-Darryl Sutter

The 4th Line Blog
Go Flames Go

by Justin Azevedo on Sep 22, 2010 7:42 PM PDT reply actions  

I see a and c as the 2 options that popped up for me as most likely. Really depends on how they want to position the development of Backlund.

Should be interesting. Real bummer. I was looking forward to a full season with Stajan to see what he was made of.

Maybe the shoulder isn’t bad. Some are saying it’s dislocated. If so pray it’s only a partial and thus can come back much sooner. If it’s a full he may never be the same.

by 44stampede on Sep 22, 2010 7:42 PM PDT reply actions  

Another option could be Moss, if Butter decides to keep him at C

by Hayley on Sep 22, 2010 8:10 PM PDT up reply actions  

Well since I wrote this, the timeline estimate has gone from few weeks to “indefinite” as the diagnosis is a separated shoulder. So take that for what it’s worth.

by ArikJames on Sep 22, 2010 8:14 PM PDT up reply actions  

Yeah, that really sucks. Backlund or Moss are probably the most likely options for an extended absence, but you never know.

by Hayley on Sep 22, 2010 8:25 PM PDT up reply actions  

Backlund stays

and it puts the team about $3.5 over – allowable if Langkow is on LTIR. His return becomes problematic because then there is no single roster/salary cap solution for Langkow’s return, such as sending Kotalik or Staios down.

Putting both Langks and Stajan on LTIR ensures lots of room for now, but adding players that cost alot only complicates the issue on the return of the injured players.

by PrairieStew on Sep 23, 2010 7:44 AM PDT reply actions  

Blessing in disguise?

I am forever frustrated by teams who bring up young players and then play them “out of context”. In other words, if a prospect is considered to have offensive potential, don’t jam him on a checking line.

Maybe (and yes, I’m grasping at “glass-half-full” straws here) the opportunity for Backlund to play with the likes of Rene Bourque & Glencross/Hagman/??? would be just the tryout he needs to show whether he’s got the playmaking skill all of us hope he does.

If Stajan is out for 10-20 games, then at least he’s got an extended chance to prove himself. It’s not like the Flames lit the NHL on fire with goals last year, so it wouldn’t hurt to add an offensive prospect to the mix.

Ryan

Matchsticks & Gasoline, Sports Opinionated, Front Office Fans, Pink Shirt Wise Guys: Italian Soccer Podcast & occasionally even Puck Prospectus. Yes, I'm a sports-writing whore...don't hate me.

by SO_RyanP on Sep 23, 2010 3:01 PM PDT reply actions  

Those were pretty much my thoughts exactly.

It’d also give the team some time to talk to others around the league and set up trades rather than just taking what they could get, which is what I felt we were moving towards as all the preseason activities progressed with no movement on the salary cap.

by Andrew S. on Sep 23, 2010 5:06 PM PDT up reply actions  

There is a few teams with cap issues as yet plus Edmonton needs to move Souray – so the “buyers” are waiting out the sellers – maybe another week or so then a few of these capped out teams will have to make their moves. You are right, with Langkow on the LTIR – moving Kotalik or Staios or Sarich does not have to happen before the season starts.

by PrairieStew on Sep 23, 2010 6:45 PM PDT up reply actions  

Ryan Stone?

Flames are deep at centre, how about Ryan Stone? Anyone see him play in the preseason yet?

by budgie d on Sep 23, 2010 5:58 PM PDT reply actions  

Knee. He had surgery on it twice last season.

by Hayley on Sep 23, 2010 8:02 PM PDT up reply actions  

Ryan Stone had very good underlying stats playing the third line in Edmonton with Moreau and I believe Cogliano. Imagine what he could do with Moss and Glencross.

by Jeremywilhelm on Sep 23, 2010 10:00 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions  

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