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SBN's Mock NHL Expansion Draft--Which Flames Would You Protect?

With the dearth of NHL news in the weeks leading up to training camp, SB Nation's hockey division has decided to run a little experiment in the form of a mock NHL expansion draft. Leading up to this exercise, two new locations were chosen (Winnipeg and Quebec city) along with names for the new franchises (the Jets and Nordiques)--you can all stop holding your collective breath now. Former SBNer James Mirtle will act as the GM of the faux Nordiques while Behind The Net's Gabriel Desjardins will oversee hockey operations for the Jets. The actual draft goes down later this week, but first, the matter of which players each team wishes to protect from being pilfered by the new franchises must be settled. Here are the rules, as per On The Forecheck, after the jump:

Star-divide

Ground rules on protected lists:

- Teams can protect either "1 goalie, 5 defensemen and 9 forwards" OR "2 goalies, 3 defensemen and 7 forwards." 

- If you go the two goalie route, at least one goalie left unprotected must have played in at least 10 games last season OR 25 games in the last two seasons combined. One game = at least 31 minutes. 

- Each team must leave unprotected at least one defenseman who appeared in 40 games last season OR 70 games in the last two seasons combined. 

- Each team must leave unprotected at least two forwards who appeared in 40 games last season OR 70 games in the last two seasons combined. 

- Players who have played in 49 or fewer games are automatically exempt and do not need to be protected.

All Flames goalies outside of Mikka Kiprusoff are exempt on the basis of not having played enough games at the NHL level, so we can safely select the "one goalie" option at the top of the list. Mikael Backlund, Ryan Stone, and Brett Sutter, along with several other prospects whom have appeared in fewer than 49 games with the Flames would also be exempt from the draft. The following Flames defencemen would hypothetically qualify for exposure in an expansion draft, according to the rules listed above:

D Jay Bouwmeester

D Robyn Regehr

D Ian White

D Mark Giordano

D Cory Sarich

D Steve Staios

D Adam Pardy

D Staffan Kronwall 

I think most people's lists will look nearly identical here; right off the bat, my five protected defencemen would be Bouwmeester, Regehr, White, Giordano, and then probably Pardy. I have zero issues with jettisoning any of the remaining three (Staios, Sarich, Kronwall) Eastward; let's take a look at the forwards:

F Jarome Iginla

F Alex Tanguay

F Olli Jokinen

F Rene Bourque 

F Curtis Glencross

F Daymond Langkow

F Niklas Hagman

F Matt Stajan

F David Moss

F Craig Conroy

F Ales Kotalik

F Raitis Ivanans

F Tim Jackman 

Again, the selection of the nine protected forwards will likely be fairly unanimous; I'll go with Iginla, Bourque, Tanguay, Glencross, Langkow, Moss, Stajan, Hagman, and Jokinen. I pondered protecting Conroy, but at his age, the likelihood that either hypothetical team would snap him up is debatable; Jokinen and Stajan are younger, and are probably better bets to score goals and provide offence--even if they can't handle tough minutes--which is what Langkow is there for. My list also leaves Kotalik, Ivanans, and Jackman exposed--but the issue with Kotalik being on the list is that he has a limited NTC. 

Each team's list of protected and unprotected players is due by Thursday, so I'd love to get everyone's opinion on the subject before then. Who makes your list? 

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You have it right, Hayley. I’m an admirer of long standing when we discuss Craig Conroy, but he’d almost certainly retire if he were selected, and would likely advise teams of that fact. The rest of the selections make themselves due to ability or contractual reasons (Pardy over Sarich). If Kotalik can’t be exposed, you’re likely stuck with having Moss on the list. The Flames wouldn’t be hurt a lick by this sort of draft, IMO. Every worthwhile player could be protected.

by Robert Cleave on Aug 31, 2010 9:12 PM PDT reply actions  

Easy

You nailed it for me.

As to the NTC for Kotalik – you’d think if the league was creating new jobs for the players through expansion these would be universally waived for the expansion draft only.

by PrairieStew on Aug 31, 2010 9:50 PM PDT reply actions  

I would expect an NMC would present issues, but not an NTC.

by Resolute on Sep 1, 2010 9:15 AM PDT up reply actions  

Do I have to keep them all?

Sounds like a great way to get rid of some dead weight! Ha!

by TheBurnward on Aug 31, 2010 9:53 PM PDT reply actions  

Thumbs up.

Put that list in. Kotalik and Sarich would likely be the two that get taken.

The 4th Line Blog
Go Flames Go

by Justin Azevedo on Aug 31, 2010 10:10 PM PDT reply actions  

Too easy

There’s only one decision to be made: Sarich or Pardy. I’d also keep Pardy.

by Beeker73 on Sep 1, 2010 7:20 AM PDT reply actions  

Is it Xmas?

The thought of making Staios and Kotalik available for other teams to just take seems like a great dream. I like the list you have Hayley, my preference would be to keep Pardy, purely because it is the more cap-friendly option and the Flames could use all the help they can get cap-wise.

Ryan

Matchsticks & Gasoline, Sports Opinionated, Front Office Fans, Pink Shirt Wise Guys: Italian Soccer Podcast & occasionally even Puck Prospectus. Yes, I'm a sports-writing whore...don't hate me.

by SO_RyanP on Sep 1, 2010 8:22 AM PDT reply actions  

It doesn’t mean they would be taken either. If this was a true expansion draft – it probably would have been done much earlier – and given the teams also the opportunity to stock through free agency; so they might not pick from the available lists if they thought they could do better on the FA market. Even now there are probably guys of much better value than Staios that you could get for a million.

by PrairieStew on Sep 1, 2010 3:08 PM PDT up reply actions  

Agreed that the only decision for us is Pardy vs. Sarich, and frankly, I’d expose Pardy. Sarich has some trade value, where Pardy doesn’t. Sarich is also a veteran who can play tough minutes if needed. Pardy could be replaced with any of Kronwall, Pelech or Negrin without missing a beat.

You might only get a mid round draft pick for Sarich, but that is worth more to me than losing him for nothing.

by Resolute on Sep 1, 2010 9:17 AM PDT reply actions  

I don’t think Sarich really has much more trade value than Pardy. Especially with a 3.6 mil cap hit vs Pardy’s .7 mil

by Adi C on Sep 1, 2010 12:17 PM PDT up reply actions  

I don’t think it is an easy decision, Sarich v Pardy. I wonder if Pardy would get taken if left unprotected given that he’s already in his late 20’s, I think, meaning he might not have a lot of room for improvement. If he’s not going to get much better, is he worth picking up?

by Beeker73 on Sep 1, 2010 3:23 PM PDT up reply actions  

It’s sad that for the Flames this is such an easy exercise. Honestly, I’d prefer to protect less than 9 forwards too.

Wow, I’m cautiously optimistic about this season for hte Flames, but this really shows the lack of value contracts on the Flames.

Matchsticks and Gasoline

by maimster on Sep 1, 2010 12:46 PM PDT reply actions  

On a different note…is MandG doing a fantasy league this year?

by 44stampede on Sep 2, 2010 4:25 AM PDT reply actions  

If there’s interest we can. I can renew last year’s I guess. Hell, I’ll go ahead and do that. I’m drunk

by ArikJames on Sep 3, 2010 9:51 PM PDT up reply actions  

Where do you guys run the league?

by SmellOfVictory on Sep 5, 2010 6:34 PM PDT up reply actions  

Looks like I’m out for now. I don’t want to mess up the league by making numbers uneven. If anyone else wants to join up as a pairing, let me know.

by SmellOfVictory on Sep 6, 2010 4:13 PM PDT reply actions  

I wouldn’t sweat it yet, there is still time until the draft.

by Colin S on Sep 7, 2010 3:13 PM PDT up reply actions  

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