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Potential Flames Buyout Candidates

50.9 Issues Relating to Timing and Calculation of Actual Club Salary and Averaged Club Salary: (i) "Ordinary Course" Buyouts and "Compliance" Buyouts

If a Player's SPC [Standard Player Contract] has been terminated and bought out by a Club pursuant to the Ordinary Course Buyout provisions set forth in the SPC (which SPC also eliminates the concept of "lump sum" buyout), the money due and owing to the Player pursuant to the buyout shall be paid out in accordance with the terms of the SPC (e.g. one-third or two-thirds of remaining Player salary due and owing, to be paid over twice the remaining years of the terminated and bought out contract), and the amounts paid under such Buyout agreement shall be included in Actual Club Salary and Averaged Club Salary (as set forth in the Article 50) of the Club that bought out the Player during any League Year in which the buyout is paid, and the amounts paid under such buyout agreement shall also count against the Player's share for any League Year in which the buyout is paid (an "Ordinary Course" buyout"). 

The NHL's two-week buyout window began yesterday, and aside from all the CBA mumbo-jumbo, a buyout is essentially an escape clause, an exit strategy if you will, for a GM. A  player who has fallen out of favour or whose expensive contract has become a burden on the organization can be cut loose just like that if you're willing to fork over one or two thirds of his annual salary for the remainder of the term--depending on the age of said encumbrance. If the player is under twenty-six years old at the time of the buyout, he is owed one third of his salary for the remainder of the contract's duration; if a player is older than twenty-six, he is owed two-thirds of his contract's remaining value. The Flames have seldom taken the buyout route under Sutter's reign, with the exception of a brief foray into the territory in the summer of 2008 which resulted in a whole lot of confusion and, if I'm not mistaken, the contracts of Marcus Nilson, Rhett Warrener, and Anders Eriksson were never actually bought out by the club. 

As it stands, the Flames have three players (and their accompanying contracts) for whom a buyout would be a viable option if no other solution presents itself, such as a trade or demotion. After the jump, I'll examine the hypothetical buyouts of Ales Kotalik, Cory Sarich, and Steve Staios and the pros and cons of buying out each player. 

Star-divide


Ales Kotalik

#26 / Right Wing / Calgary Flames

6-1

225

Dec 23, 1978



GP G A P +/- PIM PPG SHG GWG GTG SOG PCT
2009 - Ales Kotalik 71 11 16 27 -17 67 5 0 4 0 172 6.4

Hypothetical Buyout (Capgeek.com)

2010-2011: $1,000,000

2011-2012: $1,000,000

2012-2013: $1,000,000

2013-2014: $1,000,000

If the Flames were to buy Kotalik out, they would owe him $4M over the next four seasons, or a discounted salary of $1M/season; the $4M in savings incurred from the buyout Kotalik's contract would essentially be cancelled out. The pros of buying out the remainder of Kotalik's contract are fairly obvious--the organization gains cap space and rids itself of an underachieving player who is a bad bet to provide value for his inflated contract, and gets younger in the process. The cons: having to hand over $1M annually to Ales Kotalik in exchange for his immediate departure doesn't seem particularly burdensome--but when added to the club's annual salary and with the salary of a replacement player considered, it's surely an expense the Flames could live without. If Kotalik plays one more season in North America for $3M and then decides to return to Europe as he indicated in an interview earlier this month, the resultant cost would be $1M cheaper than buying him out, and paying him for one season while still getting something out of him seems more ideal paying him one million per over four years to reconnect with his roots in the Czech Republic.  


Cory Sarich

#6 / Defenseman / Calgary Flames

6-4

207

Aug 16, 1978



GP G A P +/- PIM PPG SHG GWG GTG SOG PCT
2009 - Cory Sarich 57 1 5 6 4 58 0 0 1 0 46 2.2

Hypothetical Buyout

2010-2011: $1,066,667

2011-2012: $1,466,667

2012-2013: $1,166,667

2013-2014: $1,166,667

Slated to make $3.7M next season for a cap hit of $3.6M, Cory Sarich's contract is the most expensive of all three players, as such his buyout would also the most expensive at a total cost of $4,666,667. The cap savings of buying out the remainder of Sarich's contract would be $4,666,666. By buying out Sarich, the Flames would still be paying him about as much as they would be saving by not having him around. At 31-years old and still a relatively dependable defenceman, his salary and the fact that he is injury prone could prove to be a hinderance to any potential deal, and the Flames may have to take back another less-than-ideal contract in return--as Robert alludes to here. As a third-pairing defenceman, Sarich is probably also the easiest to replace for little cost to the organization. 


Steve Staios

#27 / Defenseman / Calgary Flames

6-1

200

Jul 28, 1973



GP G A P +/- PIM PPG SHG GWG GTG SOG PCT
2009 - Steve Staios 58 1 9 10 -27 75 1 0 0 0 61 1.6

Hypothetical Buyout:

2010-2011: $1,233,333

2011-2012: $733,333

With one year left on his deal, buying out Steve Staios makes the least sense for the Flames. The combined cap hit of his buyout would be $1,966,666 over the next two seasons (a total cost of $1,466,667) and would only save them the same amount--the least of any of these three players--while he's slated to make $2.2M next season. While a buyout is cheaper than paying Steve Staios the remainder of his salary, the prospect of his $2.7M cap hit coming off the books for good at the end of next season, barring a demotion to the minors, is likely more appealing to the Flames than having to pay the thirty-six year old defenceman almost two million dollars over the course of the next two seasons. The Flames' top four would no doubt benefit from Staios' departure, if only through addition by subtraction, and Staios' salary is still inflated for a third pairing defenceman, as is the case with Sarich. 

Is paying these players a fraction of their salaries for the next two to four seasons worth not having them around at full price for the remainder of their contracts? What's more, can the Flames afford to buy out even one of these players, taking the club's limited cap space combined with its pending free agents and off-season roster needs into consideration? If none of these players can be demoted or shipped out for some sort of tangible assets in return, than a buyout is surely the next best option--but the window of opportunity is short.

Poll
If the Flames were to buy out one of the following players, who would you choose?
Cory Sarich
28 votes
Ales Kotalik
89 votes
Steve Staios
37 votes

154 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 16 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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it is LUDICROUS to suggest that staios or kotalik will get bought out. absolutely asinine. mark my words: will never happen. while we all agree they’re useless, there is no way on god’s green earth that darryl sutter will admit culpability in those trades, and will find a place for them to play, be it in calgary or elsewhere.

i actually think that staios would help the baby flames in abbotsford and if that’s the plan then i’m all for it. as for kotalik; i think darryl thinks he’s still good. and i will be more than a little pleased if he’s right (though i doubt it sincerely).

when it comes to sarich, i will admit he’s still got a couple years left in’im. he’s overpaid for where he’s at in his career, now, but i think he still offers some value, to be sure. additionally, for a young blueline (see: kings/sharks), he would actually be a PERFECT fit… if daz thinks he can move forward with some of the flames’ younger blueliners, i think he’ll try to move sarich for a return. again, i’l be shocked if sarich gets a buyout.

ps: you’re right about the other potential buyouts: eriksson went to the QC, nilson went to russia (via a loophole in the cba where the flames paid him on a loanout type basis), and warrener spent the year getting fat on IR.

by walkinvisible on Jun 16, 2010 1:20 PM PDT reply actions  

That’s what I have been saying since the beginning of the Flames golf season. Dutter would have to be off his rocker to give up a third rounder and okay prospect (as the case with Staios) for 20 games just to buy out his contract a few months later. Am I missing something with this?

Same goes for Kotalik. Why the hell would he take on another year of a bad contract just to save a relatively small amount of money in 2009/2010?

I can’t believe that Dutter is that short sighted which means…he thinks those guys have something to bring. As demented as that sounds, seems to be the reality of our situation.

by 44stampede on Jun 17, 2010 3:15 AM PDT up reply actions  

Buyouts are shortsighted

While it might feel good to free yourself from a lousy contract – it is actually bad business.

Take Kotalik for example if you bought him out it looks like a $2m savings this year and next; but you have to replace his spot. Let’s say you do that with your cheapest options under contract such as Wahl or Bryan Cameron – both around $750 K. Savings down to $1.25 for 2 years. Then in year 3 and 4, when the guy would have gone and costing you nothing, he is still costing you $1m per year . Grand total of cap savings over 4 years is a total of $500 k. You are just defering the problem – not solving it.

by PrairieStew on Jun 16, 2010 10:51 PM PDT reply actions  

Robert does a good job at showing this over at Flamesnation. If it were to happen that one or more “disappeared”, demotion looks to be the best option.

As for Sarich. I am with those who think that we MIGHT get something for him (like a 3-4th rounder). The next few weeks should be fun.

Great job Haley

by 44stampede on Jun 17, 2010 3:20 AM PDT up reply actions  

Thanks, and just to clarify, I don’t think any of these guys will actually get bought out, I’m just saying that it’s an option, and typically the last resort. As for sending Staios to the minors, I agree that it’s probably the most viable option, but as others have said with the buyout option—would Sutter have traded for him and have him play for a month and a bit, just to send him to the minors while paying him 2.2 mil, especially with the abundance of defenceman already on the farm?

Sarich probably has the highest trade value of the bunch. I like Cory Sarich—but not for 3.6 mil on the third pairing, those minutes are easily replaceable for cheap and from within the organization. The problem is that, although his salary justifies 1st-2nd pairing minutes, he struggles in that role, as we’ve seen over the past few seasons.

Kotalik shot 6.4% last season, a career low, so I think we can expect him to do a bit better next season. Not $3 million better, but still. It doesn’t look like we’ll be seeing the back of him unless he decides to go to Europe or Darryl can swing some sort of deal akin to the one Robert talked about with Sarich. There definitely wouldn’t be enough in the way of savings there to justify buying him out; same goes for the other two guys here.

by Hayley on Jun 17, 2010 3:23 PM PDT up reply actions  

Can I take my vote for Staios back?

Can I unvote? I voted before I made the jump, and after reading the whole article, and the one at FlamesNation, I now realize that buyouts are a Dion thing to do. PrairieStew makes the point well.

by Beeker73 on Jun 17, 2010 7:52 AM PDT reply actions  

i am all for using the word “dion” in replacement of “dumb,” a la DB.

by walkinvisible on Jun 17, 2010 8:51 AM PDT up reply actions  

Im going to get killed for this, but here goes:

After watching the Flyers have to ice 4 dmen for the entire Cup Finals…maybe having some vets on the 3rd pairing isn’t so crazy.

Of course, Staios and Sarich make too much, and we don’t have the cap and all that…but still. Maybe you end up missing them when they go.

Of course, that assumes we make the playoffs and go deep and need some vet Dmen to spell the top 4, which isn’t a lock.

go ahead and start the murder.

by Domebeers.com on Jun 17, 2010 10:16 AM PDT reply actions  

stab! stab! stab!
The difference between Philly and us is that the Flames org is awash with D prospects-prospects that would be developing were it not for those two. If you need to keep one, Sarich is fine. (As long as he stays as a 4 or 5 guy, that is.) Staios should be sent to the glue factory.

The 4th Line Blog
Go Flames Go

by Justin Azevedo on Jun 17, 2010 10:46 AM PDT up reply actions  

i agree with azevedo here (which is random and weird), and i’ve never really disliked sarich except he’s no longer good value for his contract. MY problem with the flames’ blueline is that with jaybouw, regehr, gio, white (fingers crossed) sarich and pardy ALREADY on the team, you can’t promote any further prospects. add in staios and you’re extra effed (not to mention that i’d rather ice pardy at a full two-mil less). at some point, this team is gonna have to start promoting their prospects at a #6/7 defenseman position, and the veteran logjam is truly messing this up.

a year from now, sarich, staios, & pardy are gone, gio’s been traded for good value up front, and you’re forced to pay big bucks for nhl-ready UFAs or play AHL-level guys because they’ve never been given a chance in the bigs.

by walkinvisible on Jun 17, 2010 12:36 PM PDT up reply actions  

hmm

I’m agreeeing with Justin too.

Remember the 3rd pair in the Cup run ? the double doors – Montador and Commodore? It can be done – and maybe Pelech and Negrin not far off.

by PrairieStew on Jun 17, 2010 3:23 PM PDT up reply actions  

Also in agreement. Well said Justin and WI.

by Hayley on Jun 17, 2010 3:25 PM PDT up reply actions  

I do remember

I remember watching TB forwards drop spin moves on those two, getting open because of it, and then scoring goals.

Which is why Im not thrilled in using AHLers on the big club. Still, Justin and WI points are solid.

Staios is an AHLer anyways, so I guess I should be used to it.

by Domebeers.com on Jun 17, 2010 4:06 PM PDT up reply actions  

yeah but those guys (the doors) had little-to-no nhl experience before being thrust into the 5/6 roles in playoff hockey. i’m IN NO WAY suggesting that montador and/or commodore are awesomesauce, but what if they had been given a chance to play beside, say, a toni lydman or jordan leopold during the season ??

by walkinvisible on Jun 17, 2010 5:19 PM PDT up reply actions  

What I’d do with those three…

1: Sarich: I think he still has value, I wouldn’t be at all surprised if Sutter could find someone to take him for a 3rd or a 4th round pick at the draft.

2: Staois: Uhg, lowest value of the three, I expect Sutter to mumble something about how great it is that the Heat will have an extra assistent coach on the ice and what a great influence he’ll be on the young prospects they have coming up… AKA Waived and Demoted.

3: Kotalik: I expect he’ll be given weekly pamphlets about beautiful beachfront property in the Czech Republic. Hint Hint, Nudge Nudge, Wink Wink… But yeah he’ll stay this year at least. Can’t see anyone wanting him and buying him out + replacement quality player wouldn’t save the Flames enough.

Really I think buyouts are only really desireable once all other options have been exhausted. It’s dead cap space.

by Parallex on Jun 17, 2010 10:55 AM PDT reply actions  

1. Agree on Sarich’s value – 2 years at $3.6 keeps his trade value fairly low. HJis trade value actually will be higher at the deadline, because the ongoing liability would be less and teams looking to add depth for a playoff run would be willing to pay more. This is assuming he is healthy and playing OK. I guess I’d be leaning that way.
2. We overpaid for Staios for the reason listed above – thinking that depth on D for a playoff run was neccesssary. Didn’t quite work out. Would far rather see Pardy playing regular and Pelech the number 7.
3. Kotalik -where’s the KHL when you need it ?

What I am afraid of is that at this time next year – we might be viewing Regehr the same way we see Sarich today. An aging warrior who barely justifies his cap number for the next 2 years, and whose trade value is in the crapper. He may not have that decline – perhaps he will continue to perform at top 4 level for the 3 seasons left on his contract. Tough to know – the team has more information on injuries and fitness testing trends that we could imagine – hopefully they use this data to help predict declines and help to plan going forward.

by PrairieStew on Jun 18, 2010 1:44 PM PDT up reply actions  

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