FORSI stats - Jarome Iginla

by Bullard22 on Mar 23, 2010 3:28 PM PDT

Well, since we are in the age of new statistics, I thought I would dabble in my own predictive analysis. One thing I’ve always wondered about was the effect that fighting has on a team, and more specifically the effect Jarome Iginla fighting has on the team.

Don Cherry was just on CBC the other day pleading for Jarome to stop fighting for fear of injury. Looking at Jarome’s fighting statistics since the lock-out would suggest that this is not a primary concern. Out of the 20 episodes of pugilism #12 has been involved in since the 2005/2006 season he’s only been injured once. And that was because he was responding to a hit from Bryan Allen that damaged his knee.

Seeing that we only have 10 games left in this drama-filled regular season, I conveniently chopped the games around Iginla’s fights to 10 game blocks.

So let’s take a look at Jarome Iginla’s FORSI numbers:

Jarome Iginla - FORSI (post lock-out)
2005 - 2006	Combatant	Decision	Record	Points %	Win %
26-Oct-05	vs. Moen	W	5-1-1	79%	71%
10-Nov-05	vs. Ballard	W	7-2-1	75%	70%
03-Feb-06	vs. Kesler	D	6-4-0	60%	60%
02-Mar-06	vs. Jackman	W	5-4-1	55%	50%
	Total	3-0-1	23-11-3	66%	62%
	Outside Fighting Block		23-14-8	60%	51%

2006-2007
04-Jan-07	vs. Allen	W	7-2-1	75%	70%
31-Mar-07	vs. Mitchell	L	1-4-0	20%	20%
	Total	1-1-0	8-6-1	57%	53%
	Outside Fighting Block		35-23-9	59%	52%

2007-2008
01-Dec-07	vs. Tollefson	W	6-0-2	88%	75%
18-Dec-07	vs. Boll	W	6-2-2	70%	60%
05-Feb-08	vs. Jovanovski	W	3-2-0	60%	60%
17-Feb-08	vs. Moen	W	1-1-0	50%	50%
20-Feb-08	vs. Ott	L	6-2-2	70%	60%
	Total	4-1-0	22-7-6	71%	63%
	Outside Fighting Block		19-19-7	50%	42%

2008-2009
11-Oct-08	vs. Mitchell	W	0-0-1	50%	0%
14-Oct-08	vs. McCormick	L	7-3-0	70%	70%
17-Jan-09	vs. Hale	W	4-6-0	40%	40%
	Total	2-1-0	11-9-1	55%	52%
	Outside Fighting Block		35-21-5	61%	57%

2009-2010
08-Oct-09	vs. Moreau	D	1-1-0	50%	50%
12-Oct-09	vs. Brouwer	W	6-3-1	65%	60%
13-Dec-09	vs. McLeod	D	1-4-1	25%	17%
28-Dec-09	vs. Smid	L	6-3-1	65%	60%
30-Jan-10	vs. Souray	D	5-4-1	55%	50%
19-Mar-10	vs. Clowe	W	*1-1-0*	50%	50%
	Total	2-1-3	19-15-4	55%	50%
	Outside Fighting Block		16-11-5	58%	50%

Record includes the game the fight took place, and for (up to) 10 games following.

Interesting note, the flames are 13-3-4 in games which Iginla fights.

Also, Iginla's only been injured after one of these fights. And that was versus
Allen, as he went after him because of a dirty hit - which injured his knee.

Interesting things to note, the Flames have a record of 13-4-3 in games Jarome fights. The Flames also have a record of 46-17-10 in the game blocks surrounding fights he WINS.

That leaves the Flames with a point percentage of 0.75 and 0.70 respectively. Using those ratios, the Flames should presumably end up with a record of 9-3-0 or 8-3-1 over their final 12 games.

Why is this important? Well, as Kent so neglectfully failed to report 2 games ago, Jarome Iginla fought Ryan Clowe on March 19th….and won.

Tweet Comment 5 comments | 2 recs |

Do you like this story?

Comments

“Forsi”…you are such a smartass.

Matchsticks and Gasoline
Fivehole fanatics

by Kent Wilson on Mar 23, 2010 3:29 PM PDT reply actions

Haha I liked it.

by SmellOfVictory on Mar 23, 2010 5:46 PM PDT up reply actions

I should probably note that the ‘decisions’ were taken from www.hockeyfights.com

And lemme tell you, that is one of the most therapeutic sites on the internet. Nothing is more satisfying than going through the fight history of your most loathed player and watching the fights he gets killed in.

by Bullard22 on Mar 24, 2010 12:24 PM PDT reply actions

Don Cherry used to say Jarome needs to fight to wake the Flames up . That was a few years ago now he wants him to stop .

Show me the CUP

by Mashman on Mar 28, 2010 10:45 PM PDT reply actions

FORSI sure is being put to the test,

3-3 since Clowe.

by Bullard22 on Mar 31, 2010 10:19 AM PDT reply actions

Comments For This Post Are Closed

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recent FanPosts

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >

Flames Schedule

Last 5 Games

Anaheim Anaheim Calling	Sat 04/07	W 5 - 2
Vancouver Nucks Misconduct	Thu 04/05	W 3 - 2
@ Vancouver Nucks Misconduct	Sat 03/31	OT - L 2 - 3
Colorado Mile High Hockey	Fri 03/30	L 1 - 4
Los Angeles Jewels From The Crown	Wed 03/28	L 0 - 3

Network Bar

Matchsticks and Gasoline -

We made fun of Luongo before it was cool