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Flames vs. Wild Game Thread

Calgary Flames at Minnesota Wild, Mar 21, 2010 12:00 PM PDT


 

Xcel Energy Center

1 PM MT

Opposition: Hockey Wilderness

TV: Sportsnet West


What was it I said the other day about a nice win that leaves the Flames no closer to the playoffs? With the excitement from Friday's victory fading, last night's results were just a reminder of the place Calgary finds themselves in with three weeks left on the schedule. In the era of three point games, any team trying to overhaul good teams this late in the year faces a serious hurdle, and for all the talk about how tough the Flames' finishing stretch is, one thing that isn't present is the chance to hold those other teams down. The Flames really don't have a sniff at catching any team above L.A.,only that last Avalanche outing is against a team in that range. 

The next week is still, in theory at least, a chance for the club to make a move. Until they meet the likely President's trophy winners a week today, it's nothing but teams below them in the standings, starting in St. Paul this afternoon. They have no more margin for error than they did before Friday, not an inch more slack in the noose, so this afternoon's Wild encounter, like every game left, has the feel of must-win.

Star-divide

 

As with the win over San Jose, it seems likely that the players at the bottom of the roster will have to carry whatever hopes the Flames have for the duration. Mikael Backlund was in the center of the action at both ends of the ice, of course, but the offence that he created is the item of interest. He seems to be able to whip fourth liners at the moment, which given the make-up of the rest of the forwards is nothing to belittle. There's no news of Higgins or GlenX escaping sick bay any time soon, so the lines that we saw Friday may have a bit of sustain. 

Solidity at the end of the roster is paramount due to the indifferent play of the first line. Jarome Iginla's fistic exploits aside, that line was in the ditch the other evening both in regards to scoring chances and Corsi. The H2H icetime numbers suggest some mix-and-match, with the top two lines swapping somewhat against the top two SJ lines. That sort of action also might well occur this afternoon, with Koivu and the Havlat-Latendresse pair in lieu of Pavelski and Thornton. 

If that's the case, the good work of Niklas Hagman needs to continue. I'm in accord with what I suspect is the consensus opinion on the matter when I say that the return of Higgins, whenever that may be, should represent the end of Ales Kotalik's days in the top six rather than those of his Finnish teammate. 

Why was Nigel Dawes sitting after the Olympics, again? I'm still utterly confused at the line of thinking that lead to that decision, and his play since his return has simply reinforced my feelings that he was a better option than the team gave him credit for being. I don't want to slag on Nystrom and Mayers too much, though. They done everything asked of them to this point. I don't doubt that a healthy roster would present a dilemma for Brent Sutter as he tries to choose his 12 forwards on any given night, but Dawes shouldn't be part of the discussion when it comes to potential spectators.

 

It appears that barring injury, the defence pairs are set, for better or worse. With the construct of those pairs, and the team as a whole, it's pretty clear that the Flames hope to out-chance the opposition when Mark Giordano is on ice. In the unlikely event of Steve Staios rediscovering the 2004 version of himself, that would be a dynamite plan, to be honest. Gio has spent the last two seasons showing that he's too good for most team's bottom sixes to exploit, and he can turn the team north on the attack against that sort of competition with regularity. Another outing with a +10/-3 EV scoring chance differential would be good, no?

 

Left Wing Lock still isn't showing a confirmed goalie for either team as I put this together, but with a short turn-around, maybe Toskala again? This game and the Boston game next Saturday afternoon seem the best, and most likely, opportunities to get Miikka Kiprusoff some rest before season' end. That sound you hear still isn't me humming "The Kid is Hot Tonight", though ;-)

 

Minnesota has fallen out of the race. Injuries and sub-par seasons from Backstrom and Havlat are the main culprits to my eye, but they're still a dangerous club as long as Mikko Koivu is around. The Finn is one of the league's better players, though somewhat under-valued in the wider community, and he and Andrew Brunette have had solid years. Martin Havlat recovered from his dreadful start right about in tandem with the arrival of Guillaume Latendresse, and that line has looked dangerous against the Flames on every occasion this year. The Wild bottom six isn't quite as deep as Calgary's, although Kyle Brodziak has played well enough that one wonders why the Oilers let him go in the summer. Oh, wait, they're the Oilers. That's what they do.

Snark aside, Niklas Backstrom's off season really is at the heart of the Wild's disappointing year, though. His .913 EV SV % is nowhere near where he's been in the recent past, and Minnesota is still in the top ten in terms of shots against, so this isn't a case of him being peppered every night. Four more years at 6 mil a season might feel like a gamble that Chuck Fletcher lost, but I said the same about Kipper this summer, so as always, goalies; who the hell knows?

 

The last encounter between these clubs occurred in a similar scenario for the Flames. A home win against a club well up in the standings was followed by a trip to the North Star State on a Sunday afternoon. That day, a good start and Jarome Iginla's hot stick carried the battle. That sort of scoring from number 12 would certainly be welcome, but in all honesty, if the Flames top-six can break even, they have an edge the further down the roster that might be enough.

 

Game time is 1 MT on Sportsnet West.

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I’m very hopeful the Flames can get the 2 points today especially with Kipper in net and I believe for the first time this year we will get to see the NHL’s best backup in Josh Harding.

GO FLAMES GO!

GO FLAMES GO!!!

by CofRed on Mar 21, 2010 10:50 AM PDT reply actions  

Toskala to get the start

by DarrenZ on Mar 21, 2010 11:46 AM PDT up reply actions  

one has to wonder how much the org/front office has to do with coaching decisions. i find it miiiighty suspicious that the guys in the pressbox, after the olympics, happened to be on the lowest end of the payscale… perhaps dawes drew the short straw because he’s cheaper than moss and therefore lower on the hierarchy ? this theory would work for boyd, mcG, and mickis (though it falters when considering nystrom).

by walkinvisible on Mar 21, 2010 11:05 AM PDT reply actions  

I suspect that the antediluvian mindset of the Sutters as a collective is at the heart of it. Nigel Dawes doesn’t appear to be the type of player that they see as a “fourth-liner” whatever that’s supposed to mean. Neither does Backlund. Sans injuries, they’d both likely be watching, IMO. I have this silly notion that using your 12 best forwards is a pretty good opening premise, but it’s clear to me after Daz’ comments when he traded Boyd that the last 3 spots up front are for certain styles of players only, and it takes a few guys getting nicked to alter the rotation.

by Robert Cleave on Mar 21, 2010 11:14 AM PDT up reply actions  

I simply resign myself to mystery when it comes to the Sutterites (speaking of collectives).

by Wittmeier on Mar 21, 2010 11:26 AM PDT up reply actions  

good starting time

by shep_ on Mar 21, 2010 11:55 AM PDT reply actions  

The Score just flashed across the bottom

Derek Boogaard (face) questionable.

That is one of the best unintentional insults I have ever seen.

by brisulph on Mar 21, 2010 12:00 PM PDT reply actions  

wow. that’s amazing. :)

by walkinvisible on Mar 21, 2010 12:02 PM PDT up reply actions  

no charlie simmer!?

by shep_ on Mar 21, 2010 12:03 PM PDT reply actions  

Anyone got a working feed?

Not finding anything thus far in the usual locales.

by brisulph on Mar 21, 2010 12:03 PM PDT reply actions  

did anyone catch the abby game ? it’s on cbc in the third right now. shantz looks pretty decent. otherwise, the team is kindof meh.

by walkinvisible on Mar 21, 2010 12:08 PM PDT reply actions  

doesn’t loubardias always think that kotalik’s gonna have a big night ?

by walkinvisible on Mar 21, 2010 12:10 PM PDT reply actions  

Good Loubardious feeling

by Rod Blogojevich on Mar 21, 2010 12:10 PM PDT up reply actions  

i guess “big” could mean “penalty time” more than “goals”

by walkinvisible on Mar 21, 2010 12:11 PM PDT up reply actions  

okay. easy on the sarcasm re: gio. who’s the new guy again ? i wanna punch him.

by walkinvisible on Mar 21, 2010 12:12 PM PDT reply actions  

think backlund was nervous on that freeze ?

by walkinvisible on Mar 21, 2010 12:13 PM PDT reply actions  

why do i get the feeling i’m gonna be doing most of the commenting today ? :P

by walkinvisible on Mar 21, 2010 12:16 PM PDT reply actions  

Because you always do most of the commenting?

by mike_H on Mar 21, 2010 12:18 PM PDT up reply actions  

Same here

There is one on Justin.tv allegedly, but it requires a password.

by brisulph on Mar 21, 2010 12:19 PM PDT up reply actions  

i saw that

surely there has to be one out there that doesnt require you to fill out a survey or enter a PW

by Temujin on Mar 21, 2010 12:20 PM PDT up reply actions  

you’re missing a couple of "i"s in your statement, there…. i think you meant “Gio Wild Gio”

by walkinvisible on Mar 21, 2010 12:19 PM PDT up reply actions  

me too. this chump doesn’t like gio.

by walkinvisible on Mar 21, 2010 12:20 PM PDT up reply actions  

You guys must be the first two members of the Charlie Simmer fan club.

by mike_H on Mar 21, 2010 12:21 PM PDT up reply actions  

i wonder what domebeers thinks of simmer ?

by walkinvisible on Mar 21, 2010 12:21 PM PDT up reply actions  

Doesn’t like simmer much, but I think he has a great deal of respect for Charlie Simmer’s Hair.

by mike_H on Mar 21, 2010 12:22 PM PDT up reply actions  

…who doesn’t ???

don’t say marc crawford.

by walkinvisible on Mar 21, 2010 12:24 PM PDT up reply actions  

Pierre McGuire is probably a little jealous.

by mike_H on Mar 21, 2010 12:26 PM PDT up reply actions  

John Garrett is so much better than Charlie Simmer that I’m not sure I’m even comfortable putting them in the same sentence.

by maimster on Mar 21, 2010 4:04 PM PDT up reply actions  

I didn’t think I could hate the a Telus any more than the last one…until they released this one.

It’s like they design them to piss me off.

by Kent Wilson on Mar 21, 2010 12:27 PM PDT up reply actions  

pretty vanilla period so far. toskala with some nice breaks

by shep_ on Mar 21, 2010 12:27 PM PDT reply actions  

Holy crap, I didn’t think slap chop could count that high. First goal in 87 games. wow.

by mike_H on Mar 21, 2010 12:29 PM PDT reply actions  

Nice, Rush on the p.a. in the states.

by mike_H on Mar 21, 2010 12:30 PM PDT reply actions  

Clearly what the Flames need

is Moar Staios.

Brunette could have had a picnic back there with all the space he had.

by Temujin on Mar 21, 2010 12:31 PM PDT reply actions  

This is not looking good

They are getting murdered right now.

by brisulph on Mar 21, 2010 12:41 PM PDT reply actions  

Why are we playing Toskalol in this game?

by mike_H on Mar 21, 2010 12:41 PM PDT reply actions  

I can tell you “why” in theory, and that’s sound. It is only two goals thus far….but…that’s all I got.

by LawrenceS on Mar 21, 2010 12:43 PM PDT up reply actions  

shit that’s good. (or bad for us) 10 scoring chances and ten shots!

by LawrenceS on Mar 21, 2010 12:47 PM PDT up reply actions  

hmmm… the flames giving up a goal in the last minutes of a period ? that almost never happens.

by walkinvisible on Mar 21, 2010 12:47 PM PDT reply actions  

I’ll contribute $5 to the “Get Brophy to Shave” fund.

by mike_H on Mar 21, 2010 12:48 PM PDT reply actions  

Bad time goals?

I think any time you are scored against is a bad time.

You mileage may vary though.

by Temujin on Mar 21, 2010 12:49 PM PDT reply actions  

Sure, I think it’s, let’s say a ‘poetic device’. He’d likely argue a goal 30 seconds after you score the opener is less fortunate ‘timing’ than with 1 minute left in an 8-0 game…to make it 8-1

by LawrenceS on Mar 21, 2010 12:52 PM PDT up reply actions  

Corsi.

Even. I only saw the last half of the period, but it looks like Backlund and Mayers had a tough start.

EV shots 9-9.

by Robert Cleave on Mar 21, 2010 12:50 PM PDT reply actions  

Punishing shift forcing an icing… who do you send out? 4th line. Fuck.

by mike_H on Mar 21, 2010 1:04 PM PDT reply actions  

I like Brent Sutter, but he is a fucking retard for putting Toskala in net to start a game that is not a back to back situation.

He might well have put the final nail in the season.

by Resolute on Mar 21, 2010 1:06 PM PDT reply actions  

I’m at the point where I don’t think I like Brent Sutter all that much.

by Kent Wilson on Mar 21, 2010 1:09 PM PDT up reply actions  

I don’t think one bad season undoes a decade of great coaching any more than two good games overcomes three bad years of goaltending, really.

Toskala sucks, despite winning his first two here, and Sutter is pretty good, despite how this season has gone.

by Resolute on Mar 21, 2010 1:14 PM PDT up reply actions  

I’m judging him based on his decision making this year…which has been largely poor by my reckoning. He’ll obviously win me back if things get better in the future, but my report card for him this year would probably be a C or below.

by Kent Wilson on Mar 21, 2010 1:15 PM PDT up reply actions  

That I can agree with.

Frankly, other than Kipper and Giordano, every single person who began this season with the Flames has underachieved. The coach is no different.

by Resolute on Mar 21, 2010 1:17 PM PDT up reply actions  

I’ll add Bourque to the (+) list, but that’s pretty accurate otherwise.

by Kent Wilson on Mar 21, 2010 1:20 PM PDT up reply actions  

I’d even add Dawes

by LawrenceS on Mar 21, 2010 1:22 PM PDT up reply actions  

I’d have added Bourque a couple of months ago. I think he’s been average at best since January.

by maimster on Mar 21, 2010 4:05 PM PDT up reply actions  

Well, he was hurt, but there’s no excuses since the Olympic Break.

The 4th Line Blog
Go Flames Go

by Justin Azevedo on Mar 21, 2010 4:06 PM PDT up reply actions  

Bourque was the worst player on that line this afternoon. Didn’t have a shot until the third period, wasn’t able to get good body position like he normally is and was just off all game. Extremely rare for him.

This game was a disaster from the blueline in. They might have been able to escape with at least a point if Toskala hadn’t sucked and defensive play hadn’t been so lax.

by Hayley on Mar 21, 2010 4:13 PM PDT up reply actions  

It almost seems like the situation of reasoning is that they couldn’t keep Kipper under 67 games with McL so now they are hell bent on getting as close to that “objective” as possible…irrespective of the conditions surrounding that decision making.

And…that’s fine if you have no large quality distinction between your keepers, but I don’t think anyone believes that is actually the case. And of course the simple fact that Kipper should be playing at least 71-78 games in a year (as the second round should be the minimum objective).

Whereas now, the playoffs seems highly unlikely.

by LawrenceS on Mar 21, 2010 1:32 PM PDT up reply actions  

I think the goaltending coach should rethink the “starfish” technique.

by mike_H on Mar 21, 2010 1:08 PM PDT reply actions  

he hasnt moved his legs…

by shep_ on Mar 21, 2010 1:12 PM PDT reply actions  

Bad, bad, bad, bad, bad.

Win it for Daymond, boys!

by Resolute on Mar 21, 2010 1:15 PM PDT reply actions  

What a bizarre play.

geez i hope he’s okay. definitely got his head and neck jammed when he hit the ice.

by Temujin on Mar 21, 2010 1:16 PM PDT reply actions  

-1 to Iginla for getting stripped, but +1 for staying with it and blocking the shot to create that goal.

by Resolute on Mar 21, 2010 1:18 PM PDT up reply actions  

Well, that passes for a good reaction.

by Robert Cleave on Mar 21, 2010 1:17 PM PDT reply actions  

rolling on 3 c now it seems

by shep_ on Mar 21, 2010 1:20 PM PDT reply actions  

Dear Peter Loubardias,

They did not score “three unanswered goals” if we have subsequently scored ourselves. The phrase you are looking for is “three consecutive goals”.

Thank you for doing your part not to further undermine the English language.

Kindest regards,
Resolute

by Resolute on Mar 21, 2010 1:31 PM PDT reply actions  

Maybe we can get WI to start a countdown on when he gets fired?

by Resolute on Mar 21, 2010 1:36 PM PDT up reply actions  

Or domebeers. I think they should hire Kent Nilsson, I heard on the radio that he’s around town somewhere.

by mike_H on Mar 21, 2010 1:40 PM PDT up reply actions  

Is it something about guys named “Peter” that they can’t get names straight? And then somehow they get hired to talk on the MSM in jobs where names matter.

by mike_H on Mar 21, 2010 1:45 PM PDT up reply actions  

Nice. Stajan without a stick, Iginla gets interfered with, and Kobasew gets a freebie.

by Resolute on Mar 21, 2010 1:38 PM PDT reply actions  

And Gio has looked like shit today.

by LawrenceS on Mar 21, 2010 1:39 PM PDT up reply actions  

Staios is better than Gio today, and I’m hearing Kotalik’s name in a good way a lot.

Twilight Zone, man.

by Resolute on Mar 21, 2010 1:42 PM PDT up reply actions  

well gio was probably due for a baddie.
bummer about the timing….

by walkinvisible on Mar 21, 2010 3:51 PM PDT up reply actions  

if that’s true Kent, I think the same could be said for the season. The will need 8 out of 10 by my estimations.

by LawrenceS on Mar 21, 2010 1:41 PM PDT up reply actions  

Yup. They lost 10% off the playoff chances last night and I think this is another 7-8% hit with a loss this afternoon.

by Kent Wilson on Mar 21, 2010 1:42 PM PDT up reply actions  

That’s what we get for putting ourselves in a postion where we have to rely on losers to help us. Though I gotta say, watching the Oilers give up the tying goal with .4 seconds left and Vancouver give up two in five seconds was pretty funny.

by Resolute on Mar 21, 2010 1:47 PM PDT up reply actions  

Quite the fishing expedition, there. Total disarray, for any number of reasons.

by Robert Cleave on Mar 21, 2010 1:39 PM PDT reply actions  

is kotalik on the mayers/nystrom line?

by Rod Blogojevich on Mar 21, 2010 1:43 PM PDT reply actions  

Corsi.

CGY +11 in the game and the period, but the Flames aren’t getting much out of owning the puck in terms of worthwhile attempts, as Kent has noted.

EV shots 20-15 CGY, 11-6 in the period.

by Robert Cleave on Mar 21, 2010 1:49 PM PDT reply actions  

In the instance of a tie with Detroit (hypothetically)

I’m losing track of the tie-break…down.

Wins are pretty close at this point, so it’s possible the teams finish tied with wins and points.
Then, head-to-head, we’re tied 2-2 (Flames 9GF-8GA)
We barely have the GF-GA split, but that’s the final tie-break correct?

So, if we’re tied….we get the spot?

by LawrenceS on Mar 21, 2010 1:49 PM PDT reply actions  

I think the last tiebreaker is over-all goal differential, not H2H, IIRC.

by Robert Cleave on Mar 21, 2010 1:56 PM PDT up reply actions  

right, that’s what I meant by the GF-GA split …overall as opposed to H2H.

but H2H points is the tie-breaker which comes prior, yes?

by LawrenceS on Mar 21, 2010 1:59 PM PDT up reply actions  

Yup. Points, wins, H2H points in the season series, overall GD.

by Robert Cleave on Mar 21, 2010 2:01 PM PDT up reply actions  

Uh, woo? My feed froze right in time for the goal, I think.

by Robert Cleave on Mar 21, 2010 2:11 PM PDT reply actions  

Yup. Sarich with Nystrom wreaking all kinds of havoc in front.

by Resolute on Mar 21, 2010 2:12 PM PDT up reply actions  

Yeah, I could hear Loubardias, but the damn picture froze. Thanks, Res.

by Robert Cleave on Mar 21, 2010 2:13 PM PDT up reply actions  

hagman with a glorious chance earlier

by shep_ on Mar 21, 2010 2:13 PM PDT reply actions  

Kipper is now the goaltender of record, so the boys better pull this one out, as it would be a crime if he was saddled with an L.

And that was some hit. I didn’t think the Frenchman knew how to be physical.

by Resolute on Mar 21, 2010 2:15 PM PDT reply actions  

both sarich and staios — 5.7 million goalscoring combo

by Wittmeier on Mar 21, 2010 2:15 PM PDT reply actions  

There’s a few buildings in the league where Mayers would have been a lot worse off on that hit, and Calgary might be one of them.

by Robert Cleave on Mar 21, 2010 2:16 PM PDT reply actions  

I think they should add “Don’t Stop Believing” to the play list in our barn.

by mike_H on Mar 21, 2010 2:17 PM PDT reply actions  

For sure. Actually, I like their organist too. The whole time Lanks was on the ice he was rockin’ Booker T and the MG’s.

by mike_H on Mar 21, 2010 2:24 PM PDT up reply actions  

Wild Goalie Harding shaken up on the play so obviously the nice thing to do is skate around in your own end while he recovers.

by DarrenZ on Mar 21, 2010 2:35 PM PDT reply actions  

man, minny are good time wasters.

by Wittmeier on Mar 21, 2010 2:41 PM PDT reply actions  

Christ Bork… at least come within ten feet of the net on the shot, lol..

by Resolute on Mar 21, 2010 2:41 PM PDT reply actions  

Gio’s the best goalie tonight.

by mike_H on Mar 21, 2010 2:42 PM PDT reply actions  

That’s the season.

Bad loss to an even worse team.

Someone needs to go beat some sense into Brent Sutter for starting Toskala.

by Resolute on Mar 21, 2010 2:43 PM PDT reply actions  

No shit. I dont get it

by DarrenZ on Mar 21, 2010 2:44 PM PDT up reply actions  

atleast we have our 1st round pick (not)

by shep_ on Mar 21, 2010 2:43 PM PDT reply actions  

Corsi.

CGY +20, +9 in the third.

EV shots 31-20 CGY, 11-5 in the third.

That relatively small chance disparity seems right. Lots of time with the puck, not much actually happening. Again. Story of the season, really.

by Robert Cleave on Mar 21, 2010 2:47 PM PDT reply actions  

Toskala gave up two bad goals, but the Flames would have still won if they were playing like a team that truly was desperate for points. It’s just so frustrating to see a weaker team with nothing to play for show a lot more desperation and intensity than the team that is a couple points out of the playoffs.

by Firefox444 on Mar 21, 2010 2:48 PM PDT reply actions  

Cue the Jim Mora playoffs rant.

by DarrenZ on Mar 21, 2010 2:51 PM PDT reply actions  

It would be appropriate given the number of turnovers the Flames had today.

by Firefox444 on Mar 21, 2010 2:58 PM PDT up reply actions  

I missed the first part of the first period, but I see he was +0/-5 in the first 11 minutes, and looks like he was out for 3 on one shift against Havlat and Latendresse. Again, I didn’t see it, but that’s not good bench work unless they got caught on an icing.

by Robert Cleave on Mar 21, 2010 3:02 PM PDT up reply actions  

I think it’s just something that’s going to happen with a young kid on the road now and then.

by Kent Wilson on Mar 21, 2010 3:10 PM PDT up reply actions  

So my playoff ticket invoice is still sitting on my coffee table.

by DarrenZ on Mar 21, 2010 3:13 PM PDT reply actions  

ian white can play forward, i wonder if they will move him up and put pardy in instead of mcgrattan. This of course if langkow/glencross/higgins doesnt play next game

by Rod Blogojevich on Mar 21, 2010 3:18 PM PDT reply actions  

not trying to be a jerk but when you work at the fan960 are you required to hug the Sutters nuts?

by DarrenZ on Mar 21, 2010 3:23 PM PDT reply actions  

Actually relative to most other media, the crew at Fan960 are more willing to criticize. Not that they do it often enough, mind you, but compared to the gestapo that exists in Edmonton, for example….

by Resolute on Mar 21, 2010 4:07 PM PDT up reply actions  

Oi. Just watched this on DVR…not pretty. Nice work by Iggy to get the puck back on White’s goal, but shitty work everywhere else. Although it would be too easy to blame Toskala for the loss, that’s exactly what I’m going to do. Thanks a lot, Veznia!

The 4th Line Blog
Go Flames Go

by Justin Azevedo on Mar 21, 2010 4:11 PM PDT reply actions  

As did I. The worst part is some kind of malfunction caused it to skip to real time so I saw the score and yet, continued watching. Yuck.

by Hayley on Mar 21, 2010 4:18 PM PDT up reply actions  

Those last two misses by Iggy and Bourque each caused me to shed a small tear of frustration.

by SmellOfVictory on Mar 21, 2010 4:36 PM PDT reply actions  

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