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Kris Chucko's dwindling opportunity

With Flames prospect camp opening this weekend, there's plenty of narratives to focus on. One minor, potentially overlooked issue, is the ever shrinking window of opportunity for former first rounder Kris Chucko. As he ages and the organization continues to stockpile capable players around him, Chucko's status will soon change from "project" to "bust"

Star-divide

 

I haven't written about Chucko much in the past, mainly because I never thought much of him as a prospect. Aside from a single season in the BCHL, his results have been underwhelming and he's almost never impressed me when I've viewed him live. From what I've seen, Chucko is slow, awkward, poor with the puck in open ice and lacks the type of intelligence and awareness a player would need to overcome those kinds of limitations. He doesn't even strike me as a balls-to-the-wall kind of guy like, say, Eric Nystrom. The best thing I can say about him is he's pretty big. 

Chucko is significant to the Flames because of the opportunity he represents. For those unaware, Kris was the second first round pick of the Sutter regime after Dion Phaneuf. He was chosen 24th overall in the 2004 entry draft and was the only Calgary draft choice inside the top 65. Ironically, of the Flames first 3 picks in that draft year, Chucko is thus far the least successful (Prust and Boyd were chosen in the 3rd round in 2004).

Described as a "project pick" with size and leadership qualities, Chucko was chosen right out of the BCHL. He was dominant in his draft year, scoring 32 goals and 87 points in 53 games for Salmon Arm. Unfortunately, his offensive totals were probably inflated by his line mate - one Travis Zajac, now of the New Jersey Devils. That same season, Zajac centered Chucko and collected 43 goals and 112 points. The fact that Chucko never approached that level of offensive potency before or since that year can probably lead us to conclude that Kris road coattails to his first round selection. I hope he bought Travis a beer or two. 

There's no question that Chucko has been surpassed by most of his cohort. Of the thirty 2004 first rounders, only three have played less NHL games (Aj Thelen, Devon Dubnyk and Andy Rogers). Chosen after Chucko that same year was Mike Green, Dave Bolland, David Booth, Nicklas Grossman, Brandon Dubinsky, Alex Goligoski and David Krejci. Many of these guys are impact players at the NHL level at this point, while Chucko is still struggling to dominate the AHL.

Some small glimmers of light appeared for Chucko supporters last year, however. In his third pro season, Chucko was second on the QC Flames in terms of goal scoring with 28 and he actually led all skaters in terms of ES goals with 18. He played some of the tougher competition amongst forwards on the team and actually managed to grab a cup of coffee with the big club (although, for my money, he was probably the least impressive of all the call-ups).

Significant challenges beset Chucko's NHL aspirations going forward:

First, Sutter has gone about stocking the farm with similar (if not superior) players this season, all of whom have pro contracts. Chucko will not only have to battle with the incumbents on the big quad (Nystrom, Sjostrom, Prust, McGrattan, Boyd, Conroy), but also other capable players including Jamie Lundmark, Kyle Greentree, David Van Der Gulik, Riley Armstrong, Jason Jaffray and Garth Murray. That's a lot of depth to have to climb over, especially for a guy whose progress can be described as "glacial".

Second, the Calgary prospect ranks are poised to swell further after this year. Mikael Backlund is making the leap to pro this season and he will be joined by Mitch Wahl, Greg Nemisz, Lance Bouma and Aaron Marvin in 2010. Not to mention the continued development of dark horse John Armstrong.   

It's probably fair to say that Chucko will never be a significant contributor at the NHL level. The question now is whether he will be an NHL player at all. How long he sticks around training camp this fall will go a long way to giving us an answer.

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totally unrelated thoughts:
- by dark horse you mean “WI’s horse” on J.A, right ?
- your post brings up an interesting line: the “strom” line —-nystrom & sjöstöm.
ps: this is totally baby flame week for me. i’ll let you know more as the days pass….. x

by walkinvisible on Sep 5, 2009 9:07 PM PDT reply actions  

Wow. That is quite the list drafted behind him. We could have used a couple of those guys!

by Eric R on Sep 6, 2009 7:18 AM PDT reply actions  

In Chucko's Defense...

1) The kid is only 23… the same age as David Moss when he played his first NHL season, and a year before Eric Nystrom ever played in the NHL. Curtis Glencross never played any significant role on an NHL roster until he was 25. Adam Pardy was 24 last season, ditto for Mark Giordano in his first season with over half a season played.

2) Chucko made a huge jump in his production last season, doubling his goals/game played. Chucko hasn’t plateaued if last season has taught us anything, let’s hope his development continues.

3) Chucko’s 28 bingos in the AHL is quite a number… more that Glen-X, Nystrom, Moss and Lundmark ever scored in the AHL in a season… that’s impressive. The only guy who out scored him is Greentree, who is 3 years his senior.

If Chris Chucko is going to be called a bust, let’s wait until he is one… he’s still progressing as a player. He was labeled a project at draft time, and projects do take time.

Finally Chucko didn’t draft himself in the first round the Flames did. The expectations he has to live up to are a result of the Flames picking him not as a result of anything he’s ever done… If he was an undrafted kid, message boards would be whispering about a possible sleeper in the AHL who’s on the upswing.

I’m not saying he’s going to be a player in the NHL. What I’m saying is it’s too soon to tell.

Was he a savy draft pick in the first round? NO!

"It's a great day for hockey" - BBJ

by jealous broadcaster on Sep 6, 2009 7:19 PM PDT reply actions  

He made a genuine step forward last year it seems. Partially because the QC Flames were desperately short on scoring options – the challenge for Chucko is to sustain that improvement now that he’ll be dueling with a whole host of other guys on the farm this season. From here on in, his progression has to be marked and genuine in order for him to remain on the radar.

by Kent Wilson on Sep 6, 2009 7:41 PM PDT up reply actions  

Chucko

The Club should trade the fella. Along with the Toronto-based blueliners. Pelech, Giordano, Negrin. We could try get Stahlberg from Toronto. I hear they got a cool trainer there.

by Niulrana on Sep 6, 2009 7:28 PM PDT reply actions  

@niurlrana:
chucko has no value, so trading him would be a total waste. also ? gio is an effin’ steal at his salary, and i’m sick and tired of people trying to run him outta town….
re: chuckles—- i sincerely hope he makes us all look like idiots when he comes up as injury replacement and scores 50… not to say i’d bet on it. :)

by walkinvisible on Sep 6, 2009 8:34 PM PDT reply actions  

I swear, WI, you must have some search engine on your computer which finds any reference to trading Gio as soon as it’s posted; you manage to get that response out slamming that comment extremely quickly every time! I’m glad, though, that kind of impudent suggestion requires a quick response…

by maimster on Sep 7, 2009 7:32 AM PDT up reply actions  

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