Does adding Bouwmeester compromise Phaneuf's development?
It's arguable that Jay Bouwmeester is an amalgam of Dion Phaneuf and Robyn Regehr - he's capable of double digit goals from the back-end and can run a power play, but spends a lot of time taking on the opposition's best, often in less than rosy circumstances. He's never scored at the same rate as Dion - in part owing to the differences in they way they've been deployed the last few years and in part because I think Phaneuf has a higher offensive ceiling - but has put up decent scoring rates despite the tough sledding. For example, Bouwmeester scored 0.71 ESP/60 last year - about the mean rate for defenders in the league and well behind the 1.03 rate put up by Phaneuf last year. However, he also played behind an offensively impotent team and started 180 more times in his own end of the rink. While facing some of the toughest competition on the club (and the league, in fact) might I add.
In comparison, our very own excllent Robyn Regehr scored 0.30 ESP/60, played with a far more potent club and started in his own end just 9 more times.
The point of all this isn't to sing Bouwmeester's praises - we all know he's very good. The existence of all three players on the same team raises some interesting questions for me, though - if Bouwmeester and Regehr are around, will there be an impetus for Phaneuf to improve? With the addition of Bouwmeester, the Flames now have two proven tough minutes defenders on the club - not only will they no longer "need" Phaneuf to step up and start playing the big boys, there may very well be no opportunity for that to happen as well. Is there any conceivable scenario where Phaneuf isn't taking on 2nd tier competition next season, aside from a long-term injury to Regehr? Assume Phaneuf is paired with one of Regehr or Bouwmeester - does Sutter send that pairing out against the big guns, thereby excluding an obviously superior option for the hard minutes? I doubt it, unless Phaneuf suddenly takes a step forward to start the year. It would have to be a big step, because by just about every defensive measure available, Dion was medicore at best in his own end last season.
The other possibility is that Phaneuf progresses anyways and just beats the tar out the lesser lights. It could happen, but it's hard to imagine Phaneuf becoming a capable hard minute defenseman without actually taking on the hard minutes. Make sense?
Of course, none of this would be of concern if not for Dion's very expensive contract as well as the dispropotionate amount of cap space the Flames have invested in their back-end. Starting this season, Calgary will have to get very ruthless about evaluating their big money defenders and the value they're providing for the dollars spent. The first guy who proves to be not worth the cash will likely be moved with the dollars reinvested up front. My first assumption is that will end up being Cory Sarich, but the potential lack of need and opportunity to develop now that Bouwmeester's a Flame may lead to him underperforming relative to his cap hit.
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Trust in Sutter?
This is a very fair question especially considering the time and money the flames have already invested in Phaneuf.
On the development question I think it is an open question whether Phaneuf is more likely to reach his potential beating up the lesser lights or struggling against the stars. For what its worth I am prepared to give the brothers Sutter the benefit of the doubt on the development questions because I can’t point to an obvious fail in this regard by Darryl (although this upcoming season may be the ultimate litmus test with Phaneuf, Boyd and the decision on Lalande).
On the question of game strategy, I like the idea of a coach like Brent having the alternatives of deciding whether to use Bouw with Dion or Reggie in terms of whether to shut down or outscore the other teams top 6.
by CalTach on Aug 15, 2009 9:27 AM PDT via mobile reply actions 0 recs
I think it’s a valid point, but I don’t think that it’s going to make much of a difference.
If anything, it takes pressure off Sutter to constantly have to match his defensive pairings because he can roll any defensive pairing confidently. I think special teams is when we will see any change – Phaneuf off the PK, and Regehr off the PP (that was ugly when it happened).
Other than that, each D man will get his 20-25 minutes, + or – depending on who’s having a good night.
I think Phaneuf will continue to see hard minutes, but Sutter has the option of sheltering him if it’s against a team that will tear him apart.
by Bullard22 on Aug 15, 2009 9:50 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
I’d be content with Phaneuf actually proving he can beat second-level EV competition on a regular basis this year. Put him with Sarich, cut back his PK time a bit, and see how he does. He’s still learning in his own end, and having a solid guy paired with him can’t do anything but help. He’s had a bit of a dog’s breakfast in terms of partners the last two years. He could do with some stability, IMO, and a few minutes less ice-time. 23-24 minutes seems like a better idea than 26-27.
by Robert Cleave on Aug 16, 2009 8:27 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs

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