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Flames Prospect Depth - Blueline Strength

Building off a Robert Cleave comment from the previous post, I noticed that the Calgary organization has a nice collection of futures at the back-end. While the forward ranks are still relatively thin, the Flames are positioned to be almost totally self-sustaining when it comes to staffing the blueline for years to come.

Star-divide

Here's how the depth chart looks by age:

[NHL]

Cory Sarich - 30

Robyn Regehr - 29

Staffan Kronwall - 26

Jay Bouwmeester - 25

Mark Giordano - 25

Adam Pardy - 25

Dion Phaneuf - 24

[AHL]

Brett Palin - 25

Matt Pelech - 22

Gord Baldwin - 22

John Negrin - 20

Keith Aulie - 20

Keith Seabrook - 20

[Junior]

TJ Brodie - 19

Tim Erixon - 18

At the NHL level, the club has no less than 4 guys who are on the brink of their prime years, which I consider approximately to be ages 24-29: Giordano, Bouwmeester, Pardy and Phaneuf (I exclude Kronwall here because I consider him little more than a single season stop-gap measure). Sarich and Regehr are the "grizzled" vets and both are likely a few steps away from the downslope.

At the minor and junior level, I count as many as 5 high-potential kids in Pelech, Aulie, Negrin, Brodie and Erixon, with guys like Seabrook and Palin as outside shots to eventually make the show at some point as depth players. Even if a couple of these guys fall away as they age, the Flames will still be relatively flush.

The fact that there is a gentle age slope from top-to-bottom is probably as important as the quality and quantity of the guys mentioned, though. As a result, the club can afford to allow the kids to grow into their roles slowly and organically; by the time a guy like Pelech is ready to make the leap for good, he'll be well supported by a collection of quality veterans playing at their peak or near peak. And by the time Pelech has grown into his big boy pants, the same can be said of Negrin and Aulie. And so on. It's as close to optimal as one could get - if you ignore the amount Calgary is spending on their defense corps currently, of course.

The only potential future issues I can see is crowding. The good news is: capable defenders can almost always be moved for a return on the trade market. My gut feeling looking at the list is: Sarich will stick around this season, but be dealt for parts next summer.

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No Surprise

Defense has always been a Sutter focal point.

Recall the the club reaching for Montador and Commodore in the ‘04 Run as the regulars on the back end got decimated by injury. Since that year he’s always wanted more D-men around.

Even the Vandermeer for Prust deal looks like one that was done at the deadline and allowed Sutter to have an extra d-man for the playoffs last year.

Defense wins Ch*mp**nsh*ps.

Let’s hope so. Not much upfront.

"It's a great day for hockey" - BBJ

by jealous broadcaster on Jul 25, 2009 1:10 PM PDT reply actions  

Yeah…the flip side of this is the forward depth from the top down through to Junior is underwhelming. If the Jarome downswing we observed last year is for real and not just an outlier, the Flames could be in very real trouble because there’s absolutely nothing on the parent club or in the hopper that can replace his contributions.

by Kent Wilson on Jul 25, 2009 1:18 PM PDT up reply actions  

Sarich and one of those young D for a forward certainly seems like a probable move next summer. Beyond the potential for fall-off from Iginla, the Flames have 3 UFA (Jokinen, Conroy, Bourque) in the top nine, and Langkow is no kid. The Flames might have as many as 10 D under 26 that are or could be NHL regulars. 2 of them could be called elite (Bouwmeester and Phaneuf), and the rest look like they’ll fall into the second or third paring level. Erixon might be a top pair guy, but I’m not going to project an 18 year old unless he’s a lock. How many young Flames forwards even have legitimate top-nine potential? Boyd, Dawes, Backlund, Nemisz and Wahl, maybe? A re-balancing of the prospect group will be needed by the end of next summer, IMO.

by Robert Cleave on Jul 25, 2009 2:12 PM PDT up reply actions  

trades?

Dustin Boyd, Wayne Primeau, Marc Giordano and Matt Pelech to Toronto. Seriously what would it take to add somebody like that Czech defender down in Hogtown? That would be soo wicked!

by Niulrana on Jul 25, 2009 6:34 PM PDT up reply actions  

yeah, but colin could be in new zealand for all i know, and doing a little commenting in the afternoon. ;)

by walkinvisible on Jul 26, 2009 3:12 PM PDT reply actions  

I’m in San Francisco, actually :P Just had finished watching a late movie.

-Colin

by Colin S on Jul 26, 2009 6:53 PM PDT up reply actions  

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