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Flames Versus Thrashers Post-Game - You Wouldn't Like Glencross When He's Angry

Corsi

Scoring Chances 

H2H Ice

Aside from an ugly first few shifts, there was little doubt the Flames were the better team last night. The Flames were consistently superior at 5on5, out-chancing the Thrashers 21-12 and frequently controlling the play. Even the penalty kill, which I had singled out as a recent weakness of the team despite some decent results, was effective, allowing no goals and single scoring chance.

Star-divide

The trio of Iginla, Jokinen and Dawes had a much better evening, scoring once and ending up on the plus side of the ledger across the board. Glancing at the head-to-head ice info, it seems Kovalchuk spent most of his time up against Langkow et al, leaving Iginla and company face the Russian unit of Antropov, Afinogenov and Kozlov. I assume this was a purposeful strategy on Sutter's part given the Flames were at home and it strikes me as the most rational path if he's going to pursue the Iginla-Jokinen-Dawes (Lundmark/Sjostrom/whoever) combination. Sending Langkow and Bourque out to face the tough match-up increases the chances Iggy and company will spend more time in the offensive zone and therefore more time earning their large paycheques (well...except for Dawes). It should be the default setting going forward.

The power play was the only glaring weakness to Calgary's game last night. Aside from a Jokinen rush/break-away, the Flames couldn't seem to establish anything with the man advantage. They frequently struggled to get the puck in the zone and set-up for more than a few passes around the perimeter or a perfunctory shot from the point. As it stands right now, the Flames PP is tied for 20th in the league and it is poised to drop even further if the club can't figure things out. And this time, no one can blame lack of practice as the cause of the inefficiency.

Overall, though, it was a strong performance. In fact, Curtis Glencross' beat down of Colby Armstrong probably serves as an apt microcosm of the contest:

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The battle of the captains would also be a good microcosm of the game. Kovalchuk spent most of the night standing around, waiting for someone else to do the heavy lifting, while Iginla was battling, set up two goals, drew two penalties and had one of his strongest defensive games of the year.

As far as the powerplay goes, I’d put the third line out to start a PP one of these days.

by Resolute on Dec 10, 2009 9:49 AM PST reply actions  

powerplay strategy

Any thoughts on the “put a defenceman in front of the net strategy”? To my mind it looked like a terrible idea because with two players in front, the other three were then trying to open a shooting lane at best 3 on 3 but at times at a 3 on 4 disadvantage as Atlanta just ignored the men in front.

I don’t see this as a viable strategy to generate consistent results on the powerplay.

by CalTach on Dec 10, 2009 11:07 AM PST via mobile reply actions  

So I saw a stat on sportsnet that I didn’t even know and wanted to look into. Ok, scary stuff here, so cover your eyes:

Miikka and the team had another slow start to the season (ha! not really). It appears that in the last 16 games (since the beginning of November) Kipper has allowed 26GA. Or a 1.63 GAA. Since the 7-1 blowout at the hands of Chi-wad he has allowed 11ga in 9 games. Or a 1.22 GAA. I know that GAA is a very team based stat, so I look at this at the post-Keenan era vs the Sutter era. We all said that it would take ~ 25 games to get them going. Read into this what you will.

I made a crude graph breaking the season into 10 game chunks. The heavy black line is GAA per 10 game peice, with the green being overall GAA during that period. Now Miikka has only played 27 games thus far, so I had to forecast a little, but at 7 goals against in 7 games…the guess for ten was easy, albeit unlikely. I’ve also included a couple of other Miikka markers…his Sutter best (1st year) and Keenan worst (last year). It may be fun to see an ev sv% graph, but that will take a lot longer. Keep in mind this is sort just for fun, has some value, but I’m not taking it too seriously.

Last game: .952% ev sv%, Highlight reel: 4-8

Game stats Kipper: 17-7-3 – .927% (.941% ev)
.920 sv% +: 17 of 26
sv% >/= opp. sv%: 20 of 26
<27 s/a: 7 of 26
>30 s/a: 10 of 26
>33 s/a: 8 of 26

Highlight reel: 100 – 79

by LawrenceS on Dec 10, 2009 12:28 PM PST reply actions  

Good stuff.

I’d like to see a shots for, shots against graph as well.

by Kent Wilson on Dec 11, 2009 6:46 AM PST up reply actions  

Interesting sidebar to our previous discussion about how Sutter seems to like to pair his forwards (OlliIggy, LankBork) and mix/match thirds. I recall the discussion wondering why Sutter does this. So, I’m reading Michael Farber in SI and he was talking about the SJ Power Line and how it originally started as a pair (Thornton/Heatley) before Marleau joined because “like all coaches in the league, McLellan prefers to set up his forwards as pairs” (probably paraphrasing, don’t have exact quote in front of me).

So, is this true? Is this a league-wide thing? Am I going to have to check ice times for a number of teams to see if particular pairs play together a lot, more than particular lines? Am I going to have to figure out how to do that!! Just curious if anyone has anecdotal evidence?

by maimster on Dec 10, 2009 1:45 PM PST reply actions  

Haha damn, Glencross sure laid a beating on Armstrong.

by Icedragon on Dec 10, 2009 6:20 PM PST reply actions  

Wow, I didn’t even see Armstrong threw a single punch, he just turtle his whole fight, and he DID drop the glove for the fight… can’t believe that would happens from GlenX.

by Outz on Dec 11, 2009 6:52 AM PST reply actions  

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Northwest Standings

GP W L OTL PT
Vancouver 82 49 28 5 103
Colorado 82 43 30 9 95
Calgary 82 40 32 10 90
Minnesota 82 38 36 8 84
Edmonton 82 27 47 8 62

(updated 4.12.2010 at 6:21 AM PDT)

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