Flames Game Day: In Quinntessence
The Flames play the Auld Enemy tonight at Literally. Crush. Place for the second time in less than a week. BOA, woooo!, right? Honestly, though, playing the Oilers so often in the first month takes a bit of the heat away, at least for me. I'd rather let the dislike ferment for a bit, but the schedule won't be altered for my taste any time soon, so here we are.
The Flames have had a bit of a strange start to the season, by my eye. The EV juggernaut from most of last year has been missing, with the exception of Tuesday's second period. Given the crapulence that Montreal displayed on the coast last night, I'm not sure that was as much of an achievement as we might like, but at least there were signs. The third period, of course, saw the team revert to the same passive tactics that have been on offer regularly since about late February of last season. Rope-a-dope, to the best of my knowledge, has only really worked once. That was in Kinshasa, Zaire about 35 years ago, and anyone observing the winner of that bout in the last 15 years or so might argue that it wasn't such a good deal for him, either. That's a very long way of saying, "keep your foot on the gas".
The first line, as has been discussed ad infinitum, has struggled at EV so far. As a note to the voluble Mr. Conroy, I'm involved in exactly zero fantasy hockey leagues, and I really couldn't give a shit if Iginla and Jokinen score any particular number of points. Outscoring the opposition, on the other hand? That, I'm down with. The Captain and Mr. Wildcard are likely to see the other team's best as long as they're a tandem, so being in the red re: Corsi as they were against the Habs didn't make it feel like they were breaking out.
The second and third lines are doing more or less what might have been expected, although Langkow has been a bit on the quiet side. The fourth line, aka Prustrom, has been quality, so the newly healthy Brian McGrattan may have to wait for his debut.
The defence has also been the subject of some discussion, which has been largely driven by the poor Shots Against total. I'm not sure that's entirely fair, since there's enough information out there that suggests that forwards are as, or more, responsible for shot prevention and shot differential. With that acknowledged, the play of Robyn Regher has come under scrutiny, with the Flames' nominal shut-down defender admitting he's not been at his best. It appears the coach will allow his partnership with Phaneuf time to work itself out, for better or worse.
Bouwmeester and Giordano have looked by eye to be solid, although their Corsi numbers would tell you otherwise. I'd like to see faceoff numbers and how often they've played behind Jokinen/Iginla/Moss to see if there's some correlation. Given the poor ratings of those three forwards, that would be part of my guess. Staffan Kronwall scored his first NHL goal Tuesday, and with good timing, because the Flames acquired a potential replacement for him last night with the Johnson move. Cory Sarich is clearly hurt more than the team suspected initially, which makes me wonder if this amounts to backfilling after the Stralman trade. Johnson is in Edmonton, although not expected to play.
I'd suspect Miikka Kiprusoff will go again tonight, but if Sutter is good to his word, a Curtis McElhinney sighting isn't far off. With 2 back to backs between now and Tuesday, his time is looming. Hopefully when ever he starts, the team looks a bit better in front of him than they did last year. I've included a picture of last year's normal Flames' defensive zone play in McElhinney's games as a reminder:
The Oilers enter tonight's affair 1-1, with a shoot-out victory over the Stars on Tuesday. Dustin Penner and Sam Gagner have scored in both games for the Oil, and, I'll state again for the record that I wouldn't be shocked if Penner has a very good year. Nikolai Khabibulin won last time out despite allowing four goals once again and is the possessor of a sporty .855 SV%. The Oiler PK is still a matter for concern, with a 55.6 kill percentage through two games. Early days, small sample size, yadda, yadda, although I do recall a wag at Lowetide's last year describing the Oilers as using the "I formation" on the PK. That's not good, right? With the Flames off to a good start on the PP, that should be an area to watch. For more on the Oil, Scott has his regular biblical twist on matters over at Copper and Blue.
I haven't seen lineups yet, but I gather from the Oiler twitter feed that Steve Staios could be out. The Flames will likely run status quo, although Dawes and Moss were held out of practice yesterday. Maintenance, according to the coach. Post 'em if you got 'em in comments, and I'll update when I get a chance. Game time is 7:30 PM, and the Oiler Sportsnet crew will have coverage.
Update: Randy Sportak suggests status quo on the lines as well.
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Lineups thanks to the Calgary Herald
Same old grouping for the Flames
Moss-Jokinen-Iginla
Dawes-Langkow-Bourque
Glencross-Conroy-Boyd
Sjostrom-Nystrom-Prust
The enemy shuffles them up a bit
Penner-Horcoff-Hemsky
O’Sullivan-Gagner-J.F. Jacques
Comrie-Brule-Stone
Moreau-Cogliano-Stortini
No posting of the Defensive parings meaning they are probably the same.
Home of the NHL's Best Defense.
by CofRed on Oct 8, 2009 1:21 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Penner-Horcoff-Hemsky will surely be a dangerous line but the other three line matchups look like they wil be in Calgary’s favor (past history of EV play, etc. etc. which I won’t get into here).
by R O on Oct 8, 2009 1:50 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah, that’s what I was thinking too. Penner was really physically imposing last time out and Horcoff was dynamite on the button. Nullify those parts of their game and the Flames will be sitting pretty fail to do so and it’ll be a nailbiter I’m sure.
by Parallex on Oct 8, 2009 1:58 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I would like to see the Iginla line out vs. Penner-Horcoff-Hemsky. IMO Penner = Moss in down low play but with our size advantage vs. the other two I expect better nubmers from our top line. I want good hard forechecking from our top line with Iginla driving to the net and not passing off to the D or putting it deep in the corner, with Iggy and Olli hard on their sticks and their man.
by canadiancolts on Oct 8, 2009 2:00 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Thanks, CoR. I’ve also added Randy Sportak’s update from the Sun to the post.
by Robert Cleave on Oct 8, 2009 1:53 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I would really like to see McL get in the net tonight. If we´re going to go with this kid, then we gotta give him a shot and tonight´s matchup would be a good bet. It´ll keep Miikka fresh and ready for the Stars tomorrow at home and McL can play on the road where there is a little less pressure with a fresh team.
Other than that, I wanna see him in against the Blue Jackets on the 13th in the second of a b2b cause we´ll need Kipper lights out against the Hawks the night before.
From there, the rest of the month has a light load and we could ride Kipper for the next 5 at home. That would give Kipper 10 starts and McL 2 road games….about right for the 15-17 game number we’re being sold for the 2nd guy.
D for 3 and now goal for 21 years, of course I'm a goaltender apologist.
by LawrenceS on Oct 8, 2009 2:13 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
I agree that I’d like to see CuMac tonight.
Also, Iggy et al are going to get eaten alive by that Horcoff, Hemsky, Penner line tonight if they don’t show a bit improvement.
by Subversive on Oct 8, 2009 2:41 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
i don’t know why i’m on my own here but playing cumac in G1 of a B2B is setting him up to succeed, while playing him G2 is setting him up to fail. i guess i understand that the edmonton game is more important (intra-div) and that kipp’s on a role but sheeesh…. if he has to start tomorrow behind a tired squad the poor kid’s gonna lose (again).
by walkinvisible on Oct 8, 2009 2:43 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
I don’t think you’re alone at all, wi. I’d have no problem with him playing tonight. The only plus to playing him tomorrow, IMO, is that it would be at home. My fear is they’ll feed him to Columbus for his first game (road, second game, after Chicago), which, through no fault of his, could be a shit show.
by Robert Cleave on Oct 8, 2009 2:54 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
i think sending an unproven kid goaltender out in the second game of a back to back is cruel and unusual punishment no matter where or when…. though suiting up at rexall for your first game is also pretty harsh, admittedly. a conundrum that no doubt led to keenan playing him both games in a B2B so often last year…..
by walkinvisible on Oct 8, 2009 3:12 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
That said… I don’t care much if we’re setting up McE to succeed per se… he’s here to benefit the team, not the other way around.
However, if the coach doesn’t have the stones to play him in either half of a back-to-back against non-playoff teams, that probably means Kipper’s starting 76 again.
by MattF on Oct 8, 2009 3:38 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
*ahem…. uh…. setting him up to succeed DOES benefit the team. i’m not suggesting that brent will have to pander to cumac for the rest of the year, but putting him in a situation where he can get a win or two under his belt would pay off huge in the confidence department, methinks. this should, by all accounts, lead to more wins (ie: the direct opposite effect to what keenan did with him last year).
by walkinvisible on Oct 8, 2009 3:56 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
The thing is, Curtis is a big boy and if he wants to play in the league he’s got to suceed at a high level regardless of the circumstances. Of course their are ideal situations – such as tonight on the road in Edmonton, but playing him in the first game doesn’t always work if the first game is Chicago for example. This is why I think a Edm, Clb pairing of games this month are ideal.
The thing is, if Kipper ever gets injured, then he’s got to play all the games, or be replaced, so we can’t shelter him too much. He needs to earn the #2 role as well, or someone else will.
D for 3 and now goal for 21 years, of course I'm a goaltender apologist.
by LawrenceS on Oct 8, 2009 3:14 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Divisional Rival on the Road
against Dallas at home. I know it is the second game of a back to back but I think it is more likely we see CuMac in the Dallas game. I say if you think he has to take on the challenge, let him and a rested club take on Chicago, and then put in Kipper for Columbus as they are more offensively challenged than Chicago and you have a better chance to squeeze out a win despite a potential subpar performance by the rest of the team.
by CalTach on Oct 8, 2009 4:31 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs

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