Thursday Thoughts and Reading: West Standings Based on WIN%
by Hayley on Mar 18, 2010 12:12 PM PDT
25 comments
I was doing some browsing around the SBN blogosphere the other day to get acclimatized to the network and stumbled upon this excellent post by Mr. Plank at Fear The Fin, coincidentally, the Flames' opposition tomorrow evening. He discusses San Jose's lack of success against playoff teams this season throughout the post, but I was more interested in this chart. What he's done here is compiled a chart showing the Reconstructed Western Conference Standings based on the winning percentage of the top nine teams in the West against Western playoff opponents, excluding games that have gone to a shootout, which can be found under the GSO column.
Reconstructed Western Conference Standings
| # | TEAM | GP | GSO | GF/G | GA/G | G DIF. | W | L | WIN% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chicago |
24 |
6 | 3.03 |
2.27 | +0.76 | 16 | 8 | 66.6% |
| 2 | Detroit |
28 |
4 | 2.78 | 2.53 | +0.25 | 17 | 11 | 60.7% |
| 3 | Vancouver |
24 |
4 | 3.25 | 2.43 | +0.82 | 14 | 10 | 58.3% |
| 4 | Phoenix |
18 |
9 | 2.15 | 2.33 | -0.18 | 9 | 9 | 50.0% |
| 5 | Nashville |
30 |
1 | 2.52 | 2.87 | -0.35 | 14 | 16 | 46.6% |
| 6 | San Jose |
22 |
6 | 2.89 | 2.89 | E | 10 | 12 | 45.4% |
| 7 | Colorado |
21 | 5 | 2.42 | 2.88 | -0.46 | 9 | 12 | 42.8% |
| 8 | Calgary |
26 |
3 | 2.31 | 2.69 | -0.38 | 11 | 15 | 42.3% |
| 9 | Los Angeles |
25 | 4 | 2.34 | 2.86 | -0.52 | 9 | 16 | 36.0% |
As you can all see, the change for the Flames isn't that dramatic, they jump from ninth to eighth and into a playoff position with a 42.3% winning percentage, but if one ever wanted a partial explanation as to why this team is in ninth place in the West to begin with, look no further than their goal differential and, of course, the fact that they are three games under .500 against opponents in a playoff position. Those Chicago games, that loss to the Sharks, those losses to Colorado--it adds up. Including games against Eastern Conference playoff opponents and overtime/shootout games, the Flames are 17-17-9 against all playoff teams this season.
This chart puts Calgary, a team that has vastly underachieved, depending on who you ask, with Colorado, a team that has vastly overachieved this season. The Avs fall from fifth to seventh in the West due to their goal differential and ultimately, their record against playoff opponents, also three games under .500. I know that there have been many examples of statistical analysis done to expose the Avs for the bunch of lucky overachieving punks that they really are, and this chart drives the point home. As pointed out in the post, not all teams have played the same number of games against Western playoff opponents, so they have varying numbers of games left against said opponents. The Flames have six games left against Western playoff teams, and seven including a date with the Capitals at the end of March.
25 comments | 0 recs
Col/Cgy Post-Game - A Negative Look at a Positive Result
by maimster on Mar 17, 2010 10:10 PM PDT
38 comments
OK, we know we're supposed to drown our sorrows after a loss by tossing a pint or two and composing haiku upon haiku in the post-game comments. It's easy to figure out how to react. But do we know how we're supposed to celebrate after a win? A win that looked like that? Sure, after the Ottawa game I noted that I finally found out what it felt like to be cheering for the Avs. But I didn't mean I wanted to feel like that after every game. Hell, we managed to out-Colorado Colorado tonight, which is no mean feat. I want to keep feeling superior to Avs fans for having to watch that hockey all the time, but the Flames are starting to play that way all the time too. And, by the way, don't let tonight's result fool you, the Avs are going to the playoffs and the Flames aren't. Not if the next three weeks look like this game.
Why am I so down after a win? I really don't know. Let's analyze a bit and see if I can feel better after that.
38 comments | 1 recs
A Brief Introduction
by Hayley on Mar 17, 2010 9:53 PM PDT
59 comments
Hello everybody! I'm happy that I have the pleasure of introducing myself here after a Flames victory. My name is Hayley and I will be the new Managing Editor here at M&G. Some of your might have read my previous work at my site Join The Rush. I've been a long-time reader of this site and was thrilled when I got offered the job here. Of course I'm a little nervous about taking the reigns after Kent did such great work here, but I think it'll be a good challenge and a great experience. I'm looking forwards to getting to know all of you and am really excited about the prospect of the further growth of this site. It's going to be a bit of a learning experience and it might take me a little while to get a hang of things, so if you have any questions, concerns, advice, or criticisms don't hesitate to contact me at hazel.mutch@hotmail.com or hayley.mutch@gmail.com
I've received a very warm welcome from the SBN family and I can't wait to get started!
Go Flames Go! Onwards to the post-season...maybe
59 comments | 0 recs
Flames vs. Avalanche Game Thread
by Robert Cleave on Mar 17, 2010 9:42 AM PDT
340 comments
340 comments | 0 recs |
Cgy/Det Post Game - A Big One That DID Get Away
by maimster on Mar 16, 2010 1:27 PM PDT
79 comments
The season isn't at an end, but you can see it from here. I'm on the record as saying that there is no outcome that may result from the Flames missing the playoffs that is worth it happening. Even first round exits are better than not geting the chance. However, as Resolute noted below, playoff hockey in Calgary may only be the junior variety this year.
Having said that, I'm not here to write obituaries. There are still 13 games left. So, let's talk about this game in particular.
79 comments | 0 recs
Yes Virginia, there is playoff hockey on the horizon
by Resolute on Mar 16, 2010 7:12 AM PDT
6 comments
While the Flames season appears lost, the Hitmen are beginning their second season on Thursday. Calgary won the Scotty Munro Trophy as regular season champions for the second year in a row, Brandon Kozun won the scoring title with 107 points and Martin Jones was the top goaltender in the league. Eight players scored 20+ goals. Calgary finished the regular season on a 23-2-0-1 run. There really is a team in this city that knows how to win in the clutch.
6 comments | 0 recs
Flames vs. Red Wings Game Thread
by Robert Cleave on Mar 15, 2010 4:21 PM PDT
227 comments
227 comments | 0 recs |
Cgy/Van Post Game - The "No-See-Em" Report
by maimster on Mar 14, 2010 10:54 PM PDT
25 comments
I have nothing to add, nothing to report, no analysis to give. Seriously. I got home late tonight, planned on fast forwarding the first 10 minutes or so to get an idea which way the game would go, and, well, you know the rest. I decided to fast forward the entire game and didn't see any reason to watch on normal speed. Other than to confirm that Robyn Regehr only scores in games I didn't see and am glad I missed.
So, we'll try again after tomorrow night's game. It's a pretty important game. And there isn't anyone on God's green earth that knows which Calgary Flames team will show up. In the meantime, here's another thread to vent.
25 comments | 0 recs
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